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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
V
Thesis fails if Visa closes below its session low of $407.52 within ten sessions
The Chip Rout Went Global. Visa Printed a 52-Week...
≤ $407.52 $403.73 Hit Oct 26, 2026
XAU/USD
The two-session slide was positioning rather than structural if XAU/USD closes above $4,155.90 within 5 sessions
Crude Is Passing Into Freight and Food. Gold Is No...
≥ $4,155.90 — expired Miss Oct 25, 2026
JPM
JPM closes above $349.00 within 7 sessions if the crude-driven financials bid holds
Oil Above $100 Split the Board: JPM +2.48%, META -...
≥ $349.00 — expired Miss Oct 25, 2026
AUD/USD
RBA patience extends the decline if AUD/USD closes below 0.6870 within 10 sessions
French Inflation Hit 3.1% and the Euro Still Lost...
≤ $0.6870 — expired Miss Oct 25, 2026
BTC/USD
Thesis fails if BTC/USD closes below the session low of $81,118.42 within 5 sessions
Eight for Eight Green on the Day China Fell Into a...
≤ $81,118.42 $80,760.01 Hit Oct 24, 2026
BTC/USD
View reverses if BTC/USD closes below the $80,000 round number within 7 sessions
Bitcoin Stalled $82 Short of $83,000 on Borrowed R...
≤ $80,000.00 $80,593.30 Hit Oct 24, 2026
USD/CHF
Dollar funding bid broadens if USD/CHF closes above 0.8427 within 10 sessions
Hot CPI Broke the Periphery First: Kiwi to a 52-We...
≥ $0.8427 — expired Miss Oct 24, 2026
NZD/USD
Periphery continuation confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5543 within 10 sessions
Hot CPI Broke the Periphery First: Kiwi to a 52-We...
≤ $0.5543 — expired Miss Oct 24, 2026
META
META closes above its $779.82 52-week high within 10 sessions as the AI model catalyst extends
Seven of Ten Megacaps Closed Green — The Chip Rout...
≥ $779.82 — expired Miss Oct 24, 2026
XAU/USD
The slide extends toward the $4,000 handle if XAU/USD closes below the 90-day low of $4,027.92 within 5 sessions
A $4.2 Billion Pipeline Got Funded While Gold Lost...
≤ $4,027.92 $4,002.19 Hit Oct 23, 2026
AVAX/USD
AVAX/USD closes below its session low of $9.3180 within 5 sessions as altcoin de-risking continues
Tesla's Capex Line Moved Bitcoin. SoFi's Tokenized...
≤ $9.3180 $9.3350 Hit Oct 23, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below $82,000 within 5 sessions as crypto trades as AI capex beta
Tesla's Capex Line Moved Bitcoin. SoFi's Tokenized...
≤ $82,000.00 $81,896.01 Hit Oct 23, 2026
V
Rotation into credit-insensitive cash flow confirmed if Visa closes above $411.00 within ten sessions
AI Credit Stress Hit Seoul. The Chips Closed Green...
≥ $411.00 $408.97 Hit Oct 23, 2026
AMD
Containment thesis fails if AMD closes below its $537.36 session low within five sessions
AI Credit Stress Hit Seoul. The Chips Closed Green...
≤ $537.36 $519.36 Hit Oct 23, 2026
MSFT
A MSFT close above $543.82 within 5 sessions invalidates the crude-led rotation view
Oil Above $100 Split the Board: JPM +2.48%, META -...
≥ $543.82 — expired Miss Oct 23, 2026
AAPL
AAPL closes above $350.00 within 10 sessions after setting a 52-week high at $348.11
Seven of Ten Megacaps Closed Green — The Chip Rout...
≥ $350.00 $347.82 Hit Oct 23, 2026
META
META closes above $766.41 within 10 sessions, clearing the 90-day high
The Chip Rout Went Global — KOSPI Fell 6% and AMD...
≥ $766.41 — expired Miss Oct 23, 2026
SOL/USD
The application-layer custody dependency thesis confirms if Solana closes below $100.00 within 10 sessions
A $93 Million Supply-Chain Breach Hit the One Laye...
≤ $100.00 — expired Miss Oct 23, 2026
XAU/USD
The slide stays intact if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,106.88 within 5 sessions
Two Mining Economies Just Turned Hawkish. The Cost...
≤ $4,106.88 $4,051.38 Hit Oct 22, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL/USD closes below $105.00 within 5 sessions as the Alpenglow upgrade fails to attract a bid
Two Asia-Pacific Central Banks Went Hawkish and Cr...
≤ $105.00 $104.59 Hit Oct 22, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 4 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 4 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 4 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago