AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD |
A close below the $458.00 session low within 5 sessions makes Thursday's $21.29 gain a one-day event
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G... |
≤ $458.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 9, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes above the $366.50 52-week high within 5 sessions if the rate-relief bid holds
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of... |
≥ $366.50 | — expired | Miss | Sep 9, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Funding-unwind thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 153.50 within seven sessions
The Yen Broke Its 90-Day Floor With Wall Street Cl... |
≤ $153.50 | $154.22 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes above $485 within ten sessions, validating the rotation toward merchant compute
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t... |
≥ $485.00 | $509.02 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| TSLA |
The bearish read fails if Tesla closes above $364.65 within five sessions, indicating the regulatory evaluation was treated as noise
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t... |
≥ $364.65 | $365.40 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after the worst close location on the board
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh... |
≤ $493.83 | $493.69 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes above the widely watched $480.00 round number within 5 sessions, confirming the semis bid
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh... |
≥ $480.00 | $509.02 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below $495.00 within 5 sessions confirms the software risk premium is spreading to megacap platforms
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G... |
≤ $495.00 | $493.69 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below $501.40 within ten sessions, indicating the platform bid was a rates artifact
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≤ $501.40 | $493.69 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes above Thursday's high of $619.43 within eight sessions, corroborating the monetization bid
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≥ $619.43 | $616.36 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Thesis fails if Tesla closes below the $365.92 session low within 5 sessions
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of... |
≤ $365.92 | $365.40 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes above $384.01 within five sessions, confirming the relief bid became trend
Waller Killed the Hike Trade and Nine of Ten Megac... |
≥ $384.01 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the session low of $218.48 within 5 sessions invalidates the incumbent-premium read
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost... |
≤ $218.48 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after a third consecutive red close and the loss of $500
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —... |
≤ $493.83 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $452.35 within 5 sessions as the divergence from Nvidia extends
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —... |
≤ $452.35 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes above the $270.00 round number within eight sessions, confirming the platform layer is absorbing rotation flow
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in... |
≥ $270.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Dollar-funding relief thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 155.30 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to... |
≤ $155.30 | $154.43 | Hit | Sep 7, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes below $76,264 within five sessions as the rate repricing extends
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge |
≤ $76,264.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Thesis fails if Apple closes below its $314.74 session low within 5 sessions
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $... |
≤ $314.74 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $251.93 within 5 sessions as discount-retail pressure and risk-off flow extend the second red close
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi... |
≤ $251.93 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |