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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
GLW
Optical capacity repricing confirmed if Corning closes above $170 within 15 sessions
Jabil Just Guided to an $8.5 Billion Revenue Step-...
≥ $170.00 — expired Miss Oct 19, 2026
AVAX/USD
Duration unwind extends if Avalanche closes below $9.337 within 10 sessions
Inflation Re-Accelerated on Three Continents and C...
≤ $9.3370 $9.6720 Hit Oct 18, 2026
XAU/USD
The three-session slide reverses only if XAU/USD closes above the session high of $4,200.45 within 5 sessions
Russian Strikes Put a Risk Premium Back in Crude....
≥ $4,200.45 — expired Miss Oct 18, 2026
NZD/USD
Periphery continuation confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5565 within 10 sessions
Tokyo Legislates, Moscow Licenses — and the FX Mar...
≤ $0.5565 — expired Miss Oct 18, 2026
SOL/USD
Tokenization demand confirmed if SOL closes above $116.81 within 10 sessions
Three Jurisdictions Wrote Crypto Rules This Week....
≥ $116.81 — expired Miss Oct 18, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its session low of $325.10 within ten sessions as the financials de-rating extends
The Crypto Rails Are Being Built Abroad — and US B...
≤ $325.10 — expired Miss Oct 18, 2026
JPM
Re-rating confirmed if JPM closes above $350.00 within 20 sessions
HSBC Raises JPMorgan's Target to $377, Keeps Hold...
≥ $350.00 — expired Miss Oct 18, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $81,688.00 within 3 sessions as the hourly compression resolves lower
Interactive Brokers Just Made ETH a Yield Product....
≤ $81,688.00 $81,623.38 Hit Oct 17, 2026
NVDA
A NVDA close above $233.89 within 5 sessions invalidates the semiconductor fade
SpaceX Prints at 200x Forward Earnings — And the C...
≥ $233.89 — expired Miss Oct 17, 2026
XAU/USD
The three-session recovery is genuine if XAU/USD closes above $4,225 within 7 sessions
India Just Moved Its Crude Bill Off the Spot Marke...
≥ $4,225.00 — expired Miss Oct 17, 2026
AVAX/USD
Avalanche ecosystem thesis confirmed if AVAX closes above $11.655 within 10 sessions
The Leverage Layer Broke, the Payments Layer Print...
≥ $11.6550 — expired Miss Oct 17, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $675 within ten sessions, confirming the compute bid is independent of the crypto deleveraging
$550M in Crypto Liquidations Is the Cleanest Test...
≥ $675.00 — expired Miss Oct 17, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below the $320.00 round number within fifteen sessions as the financials derating extends past its 90-day low
Nine of Ten Megacaps Closed Below Their Open. That...
≤ $320.00 — expired Miss Oct 17, 2026
ETH/USD
Macro-transmission thesis is invalidated if Ethereum closes above $2,429.41 within 10 sessions
Inflation Re-Accelerated on Three Continents and C...
≥ $2,429.41 $2,449.70 Hit Oct 16, 2026
XAU/USD
The four-session red streak was pre-CPI positioning rather than structural selling if XAU/USD closes above the session high of $4,169.97 within 3 sessions
China's Factory Gate Is Where the Inflation Is. Go...
≥ $4,169.97 $4,170.88 Hit Oct 16, 2026
NVDA
NVDA closing above $233.89 within 5 sessions invalidates the semiconductor fade
OpenAI's $50 Billion Revenue Report Hits the Chips...
≥ $233.89 — expired Miss Oct 16, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes back above 1.1250 within 10 sessions
Tokyo Legislates, Moscow Licenses — and the FX Mar...
≥ $1.1250 $1.1234 Hit Oct 16, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes above 1.1262 within 10 sessions
Five of Eight Majors Closed at a 90-Day Extreme —...
≥ $1.1262 $1.1234 Hit Oct 16, 2026
NVDA
Nvidia closes above $240.00 within 10 sessions, confirming the duration bid is being capitalized into leadership
Yields Eased and Microsoft Closed at $526.17. AMD...
≥ $240.00 — expired Miss Oct 16, 2026
VZ
Connectivity-layer case strengthens if VZ reclaims $49.00 within 20 sessions
CarMax's Q2 Is a Pricing-Algorithm Test, and $0.72...
≥ $49.0000 — expired Miss Oct 16, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago