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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
SOL/USD
SOL/USD closes above $123.76 within 10 sessions, extending its leadership over bitcoin
The SEC Just Offered to Let Funds Hold Their Own K...
≥ $123.76 — expired Miss Oct 12, 2026
ADA/USD
Alt-beta leadership confirmed if ADA/USD closes above its session high of $0.2562 within 5 sessions
Treasury Says It's Seizing $1 Billion in Iran-Link...
≥ $0.2562 $0.2518 Hit Oct 11, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL/USD closes above its 90-day high of $122.28 within 5 sessions, confirming the DvP launch was a catalyst rather than a priced-in story
Solana Shipped DvP, Ripple Signed Brevan Howard, a...
≥ $122.28 — expired Miss Oct 11, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes back above 1.1400 within 10 sessions
A 5.6% Long Bond Is Repricing the Funding Chain: E...
≥ $1.1400 — expired Miss Oct 11, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $345.34 within 15 sessions confirms the verdict has been absorbed as a one-time balance-sheet event
Apple's $5.7 Billion Haptics Verdict Lands on a Cl...
≥ $345.34 — expired Miss Oct 11, 2026
XRP/USD
XRP extends its breakout if it closes above Friday's high of $1.6300 within 15 sessions
A $388 Million Exchange Breach, and Seven of Eight...
≥ $1.6300 — expired Miss Oct 11, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below $509.00 within 7 sessions, confirming the gap-up fade
Soft Jobs Print Kills October Hike Odds — Eight of...
≤ $509.00 — expired Miss Oct 10, 2026
SNPS
Thesis fails if Synopsys closes below the $446.87 Q2 accumulation level within 20 sessions
CXMT Hits Mass Production — and a $23.2M Synopsys...
≤ $446.87 — expired Miss Oct 10, 2026
SNPS
Chokepoint repricing confirmed if Synopsys closes above the $562.67 consensus target within 20 sessions
CXMT Hits Mass Production — and a $23.2M Synopsys...
≥ $562.67 — expired Miss Oct 10, 2026
ADA/USD
Cardano's five-session outperformance ends if ADA closes below $0.2495 within 10 sessions
Three Jurisdictions Wrote Crypto Rules This Week....
≤ $0.2495 $0.2406 Hit Oct 9, 2026
SOL/USD
Tokenization bid fails if SOL closes below $114.22 within 10 sessions
Three Jurisdictions Wrote Crypto Rules This Week....
≤ $114.22 $110.68 Hit Oct 9, 2026
JPM
Thesis fails if JPMorgan closes above $331.28 within ten sessions, signaling the bank de-rating was a duration artifact
The Crypto Rails Are Being Built Abroad — and US B...
≥ $331.28 $332.77 Hit Oct 9, 2026
AMD
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its session low of $628.10 within ten sessions
$550M in Crypto Liquidations Is the Cleanest Test...
≤ $628.10 $612.92 Hit Oct 9, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below its session low of $620.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the catch-up trade is unwinding
Yields Eased and Microsoft Closed at $526.17. AMD...
≤ $620.00 $612.92 Hit Oct 9, 2026
META
Application-layer momentum unwind confirmed if Meta closes below the $700 round number within 10 sessions
Anthropic Files, OpenAI Pulls a Model, and the AI...
≤ $700.00 — expired Miss Oct 9, 2026
JPM
Thesis is invalidated if JPMorgan closes above $345.00 within 15 sessions
Washington's Stablecoin Push Is a Bank Funding Sto...
≥ $345.00 — expired Miss Oct 9, 2026
ETH/USD
Ethereum has not replaced its departing buyer if ETH closes below $2,591.71 within 5 sessions
The Leverage Layer Broke, the Payments Layer Print...
≤ $2,591.71 $2,568.34 Hit Oct 8, 2026
BTC/USD
Further deleveraging confirmed if Bitcoin closes below Wednesday's low of $83,577.00 within 3 sessions
The Leverage Layer Broke, the Payments Layer Print...
≤ $83,577.00 $82,908.13 Hit Oct 8, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $327.58 within ten sessions as the de-rating resumes
$550M in Crypto Liquidations Is the Cleanest Test...
≤ $327.58 $326.30 Hit Oct 8, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes above its session high of $532.35 within 10 sessions or the yield-driven bid is stale
Yields Eased and Microsoft Closed at $526.17. AMD...
≥ $532.35 $529.83 Hit Oct 8, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 5 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 5 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 5 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago