AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD |
Hormuz premium is fully absent from gold if XAU/USD closes below $4,300 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Stays Shut, Crude Bids, Gold Slips — Somebo... |
≤ $4,300.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes above $66,000 within five sessions, confirming the ETF bid is absorbing thin spot books
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi... |
≥ $66,000.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closing below $358.00 within 5 sessions signals the re-rating is narrow, not broad
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≤ $358.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA confirms accelerator leadership with a close above $228.00 within 5 sessions
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≥ $228.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid compounding if XAU/USD closes above $4,434.79 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Has Become a Condition, Not an Event — and... |
≥ $4,434.79 | $4,408.04 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below its session low of $592.05 within five sessions, confirming the failed gap-up
Hormuz Sent Crude 5% Higher and NVIDIA Fell 2.84%... |
≤ $592.05 | $578.88 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes below the $360.00 round number within 5 sessions as fuel costs pressure the consumer read
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≤ $360.00 | $359.48 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails and the move reads as a one-day insurance purchase if XAU/USD closes below $4,240.82 within 5 sessions
Houthis Hit Saudi Arabia, Brent Clears $83 — and G... |
≤ $4,240.82 | — expired | Miss | Aug 12, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close above $236.54 within 20 sessions confirms semiconductor infrastructure is decoupling from the broader AI de-rating
Alphabet and Tesla Earnings Crack the AI Consensus... |
≥ $236.54 | — expired | Miss | Aug 12, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid returns to gold if XAU/USD closes above $4,361.48 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Stays Shut, Crude Bids, Gold Slips — Somebo... |
≥ $4,361.48 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes above the $333.71 Friday high within 5 sessions on the crude-bid tailwind
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≥ $333.71 | $332.81 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the $220.69 Friday low within 3 sessions confirms the high-beta bid was payrolls noise
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.46 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical risk premium confirmed if XAU/USD closes above $4,400 within 5 sessions, absorbing the CPI print
Wednesday Stacks the IEA and OPEC Balance Sheets o... |
≥ $4,400.00 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet's fade extends on a close below the $350.00 round number within 5 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $350.00 | $343.77 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| TSLA |
High-beta leadership confirms on a TSLA close above $333.71 within 5 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≥ $333.71 | $332.81 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Gulf risk premium is being capitalized rather than rented if XAU/USD closes above $4,400 within 5 sessions
Houthis Hit Saudi Arabia, Brent Clears $83 — and G... |
≥ $4,400.00 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its session low of $488.54 within five sessions, signaling a broad software de-rating
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th... |
≤ $488.54 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below $484.00 within 5 sessions would show the megacap software multiple is finally compressing.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev... |
≤ $484.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes above its 52-week high of $363.00 within ten sessions, confirming the de-escalation is a discount-rate event with cyclical breadth behind it
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42... |
≥ $363.00 | $362.02 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| EUR/USD |
EUR/USD closes below 1.1450 within 10 sessions as the hawkish Fed dissent keeps the front-end differential intact
The RBI Chose Plumbing Over Policy: $40.8 Billion... |
≤ $1.1450 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |