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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
JPM
JPMorgan closes below the $348.69 session low within 5 sessions, pressing toward the 90-day low
The Fed Hiked and the Board Rotated — Semis Took t...
≤ $348.69 $349.13 Hit Sep 17, 2026
V
Visa closes below the widely watched $370.00 round number within 5 sessions as yield-sensitive names de-rate
The Fed Hiked and the Board Rotated — Semis Took t...
≤ $370.00 $369.44 Hit Sep 17, 2026
AUD/USD
Broad dollar weakness confirmed if AUD/USD closes above the 52-week high of 0.7280 within 10 sessions
The Yen Broke Its 90-Day Floor With Wall Street Cl...
≥ $0.7280 — expired Miss Sep 17, 2026
AMD
The compute-rotation call is invalidated if AMD closes below its $458.00 session low within ten sessions
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t...
≤ $458.00 — expired Miss Sep 17, 2026
META
Meta closes above the $678.80 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Yields Hit Fresh Highs and the Board Split — META...
≥ $678.80 $678.99 Hit Sep 16, 2026
BTC/USD
The thesis that the Clarity Act failure and rate-hike risk are discounted fails if BTC closes below $76,000 within 5 sessions
Clarity Act Odds Collapse and the Assets Most Leve...
≤ $76,000.00 $75,962.26 Hit Sep 16, 2026
XAU/USD
Thesis fails and the physical bid absorbed the selling if XAU/USD closes above $4,355.11 within 5 sessions
The Dollar Did the Selling in Gold. The Mines Didn...
≥ $4,355.11 $4,353.47 Hit Sep 16, 2026
AMD
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions reverses the view on gap-dependence
Friday's Megacap Sweep Was 62% Gap. Central-Bank W...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
XAU/USD
Geopolitical bid re-enters bullion if XAU/USD closes above the session high of $4,403.80 within 5 sessions
Crude's Transit Tax Landed in Mumbai, Not in Gold...
≥ $4,403.80 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
V
Visa closes below $360.00 within 5 sessions as payments stay offered into the September 15 cloture vote
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot...
≤ $360.00 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
NVDA
Thesis fails if NVDA closes above $232 within 7 sessions
The Data Center Backlash Is an Enterprise Budget S...
≥ $232.00 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions on inference-driven demand
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
META
Meta closes above $680 within 15 sessions, confirming the agent-launch re-rating
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≥ $680.00 $678.99 Hit Sep 16, 2026
AMD
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions extends the momentum case
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
ETH/USD
Thesis fails if ETH closes below the $2,464.71 session low within 10 sessions
Every Major Closed Green, But Four Are Still Down...
≤ $2,464.71 $2,400.24 Hit Sep 15, 2026
NVDA
A close below the $219.04 session low within 3 sessions confirms the gap-fade read in AI silicon
Friday's Megacap Sweep Was 62% Gap. Central-Bank W...
≤ $219.04 $212.21 Hit Sep 15, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes below the widely watched $325.00 level within 5 sessions as the distribution extends
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $325.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes below the widely watched $310.00 round number within 5 sessions after the BofA target cut
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $310.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the $525.00 90-day high within 5 sessions, extending the semis bid
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
META
Leadership call fails if Meta closes below the $638.71 session low within 5 sessions
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $638.71 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
MSFT
41% (22)
META
64% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
AMD Pending
AMD closes above the widely watched $550 level within 10 sessions, extending merchant-compute leadership
Target: ≥ $550.00 · 30 minutes ago
AMD Pending
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its $527.71 session low within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $527.71 · 30 minutes ago
MSFT Pending
A Microsoft close above its $501.40 session high within 10 sessions would invalidate the narrow-leadership read
Target: ≥ $501.40 · 30 minutes ago
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 16 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 16 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 2 days ago