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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
V
Visa closes above its 52-week high of $416.98 within 10 sessions if the rotation read holds
AMD -10.77% and NVIDIA at a 90-Day Low — The Hedge...
≥ $416.98 $425.35 Hit Nov 2, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $500.00 within 5 sessions if the semiconductor unwind extends
AMD -10.77% and NVIDIA at a 90-Day Low — The Hedge...
≤ $500.00 $492.82 Hit Nov 2, 2026
V
Visa closes above its 52-week high of $416.98 within 15 sessions, confirming the rotation into capital-light cash flow
AMD Fell 10.8% and Visa Closed Green: Friday Repri...
≥ $416.98 $425.35 Hit Nov 2, 2026
BTC/USD
The systemic read is fully unwound if BTC/USD closes above the session high of $78,804.01 within 3 sessions
Record $6.3B Binance Hack, and Seven of Eight Majo...
≥ $78,804.01 — expired Miss Nov 2, 2026
TSLA
Risk-appetite extension confirmed if Tesla closes above $410.00 within 5 sessions
AMD's $27.74 Day: US Chip Capital Rotates In as Ch...
≥ $410.00 — expired Miss Nov 2, 2026
AAPL
Thesis fails if Apple closes below $340.00 within ten sessions
A Fed Meeting, Inflation Data and Peak Earnings Al...
≤ $340.00 $340.39 Hit Nov 2, 2026
SNX
Thesis fails if Hyve year-over-year billings growth falls below 50% in the next reported quarter, within 30 days
Hyve Billings Up 117% — The AI Buildout Just Showe...
≤ $50.0000 — expired Miss Nov 2, 2026
SNX
Buildout thesis confirmed if Hyve year-over-year billings growth exceeds 70% in the next reported quarter, within 30 days
Hyve Billings Up 117% — The AI Buildout Just Showe...
≥ $70.0000 — expired Miss Nov 2, 2026
JPM
Regime shifts to bank credit risk if JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $326.30 within ten sessions
AI Credit Stress Hit Seoul. The Chips Closed Green...
≤ $326.30 — expired Miss Nov 1, 2026
EUR/USD
Dollar softness extends if EUR/USD closes above 1.1310 within 15 sessions
India Sold $59.7 Billion of Dollars in Six Weeks....
≥ $1.1310 — expired Miss Nov 1, 2026
USD/CHF
Thesis fails if USD/CHF closes back above 0.8265 within 10 sessions
The Biggest Heist in History Didn't Buy the Dollar...
≥ $0.8265 $0.8250 Hit Oct 31, 2026
EUR/GBP
Thesis fails if EUR/GBP closes back above 0.8394 within 10 sessions
Lagarde Said the ECB Discussed a Hike and the Euro...
≥ $0.8394 $0.8337 Hit Oct 31, 2026
EUR/GBP
Euro weakness against sterling confirmed if EUR/GBP closes below 0.8310 within 15 sessions
Lagarde Said the ECB Discussed a Hike and the Euro...
≤ $0.8310 $0.8337 Hit Oct 31, 2026
XAU/USD
The hawkish-producer read fails if XAU/USD closes above $4,180 within 10 sessions
Two Mining Economies Just Turned Hawkish. The Cost...
≥ $4,180.00 — expired Miss Oct 31, 2026
MSFT
Rotation within AI confirmed if Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $547.30 within 15 sessions
The CoreWeave Shock Is a Credit Event Wearing an A...
≥ $547.30 — expired Miss Oct 31, 2026
XAU/USD
The real-rate repricing is confirmed if XAU/USD closes below the 90-day low of $3,993.59 within 3 sessions
Refineries Are Being Shot At and Gold Fell $55. So...
≤ $3,993.59 $3,894.70 Hit Oct 30, 2026
AMD
Thesis fails if AMD closes below $560.75 within 10 sessions, signaling the component cycle is rolling over
The Fed Held and the Gap Was Sold: Meta's 13.5% We...
≤ $560.75 $505.44 Hit Oct 30, 2026
XAU/USD
The de-rating extends and the $4,000 handle fails if XAU/USD closes below the 90-day low of $3,993.59 within 5 sessions
Energy Is Pricing the Midterms. Gold Is Pricing th...
≤ $3,993.59 $3,894.70 Hit Oct 30, 2026
AMD
AMD's continuation fails if it closes below the $538.72 session low within 5 sessions
AMD's $27.74 Day: US Chip Capital Rotates In as Ch...
≤ $538.72 $505.44 Hit Oct 30, 2026
V
Visa closes above $412.51 within 10 sessions, confirming the cash-conversion bid is intact
S&P Is Rewriting What 'Value' Means — and Friday's...
≥ $412.51 $413.56 Hit Oct 30, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago