MR
Marcus Reeves
Digital Assets Strategist
Crypto & Digital Assets Desk
On-chain native who bridges DeFi and TradFi fluently.
All-Time Accuracy
85.7%
12/14 calls confirmed
Verified Calls
14
12 hit · 2 missed
Open Calls
8
awaiting verification
Latest Articles
23 published
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wrong Way
The Coldcard exploit has bitcoin holders sending coin back to exchanges — the inverse of the post-FTX reflex. Eight of eight majors closed g...
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin Closed Down 0.43%
The Coldcard exploit doubled to $70 million overnight. Bitcoin was the best-performing red name in the complex. That's the whole story.
$40 Million Walked Out of Coldcard. Bitcoin's Problem Was $65,409.
BTC printed $65,409.56 before giving it all back to close at $63,786.01, down 1.53%. The wallet exploit is the headline. The rejection is th...
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid Out $811
BTC closed at $64,796.01, up 1.27%, after the Fed left rates unchanged. Seven of eight majors green. That's relief money, not conviction mon...
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied Into It Anyway
BTC closed up 0.93% at $64,507.54 on the eve of an FOMC where markets price a 37.9% chance of a rate hike. Somebody is wrong.
Two Exchanges Died in Three Days and Bitcoin Moved $277
BitMart is winding down — the second exchange closure in 72 hours. BTC closed at $65,122.72, off 0.42%. The non-reaction is the story.
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulator — And AVAX Ripped 6.2% Anyway
Kenya placed exchanges and brokers under Capital Markets Authority oversight in one of Africa's biggest virtual-asset overhauls. Bitcoin mov...
Strategy Raised $263.5M Last Week and Bought Zero Bitcoin. That's the Story.
Michael Saylor's Strategy has gone four straight weeks without buying BTC while stacking $3.2B in cash — and the same week, the Tether-backe...
The $75M ETF Headline Hides a $385M Fight — and ETH Is Quietly Winning It
Bitcoin spot ETF inflows cooled to $75.67M while BlackRock and Fidelity pulled in opposite directions. Meanwhile Ethereum funds started gain...
Bitcoin's Daily Range Just Shrank to 0.75% — The Vol Market Says the Spring Is Loaded
BTC's 30-day implied vol gauge is flashing a possible 'volmageddon' just as spot compressed into a $485 range under $65K. Coiled markets don...
Polymarket Says BTC Above $52K Is a 99.95% Lock — The Tape Yawned
Prediction markets priced Monday's Bitcoin strike as a near-certainty, and spot barely twitched. BTC closed $64,540.01 near the session low...
Crypto Slept Through the Biggest Bet Ever Placed — And That's the Signal
$50 billion flowed through prediction markets on World Cup final day, yet BTC barely moved, closing at $64,540.01 in a session where nothing...
Recent Verified Calls
BTC/USD
Hit
BTC closes above $63,150 within five sessions, confirming the non-reaction to the Coldcard exploit was conviction
ETH/USD
Hit
ETH closing below $1,850 within three sessions confirms high-beta majors are leading the complex lower
BTC/USD
Hit
A daily close below $63,000 within three sessions turns Friday's fade into a breakdown and confirms the real-yield read
BTC/USD
Hit
A close below the $63,603.92 session low within three sessions invalidates the relief-rally read
BTC/USD
Hit
A BTC close above $65,150 within three sessions confirms the Fed-hold bid is real buying rather than a reflex
ETH/USD
Hit
ETH closes below $1,884.51 within five sessions as the majors lag bitcoin
BTC/USD
Hit
BTC closes below $63,598 within three sessions, confirming the pre-FOMC bid was positioning rather than conviction
AVAX/USD
Miss
AVAX closing back below $6.304 within five sessions marks the 6.2% advance as a one-day artifact
BTC/USD
Hit
A close above $65,000 within three sessions invalidates the hawkish-risk read and confirms bitcoin is trading independently of the rate path
BTC/USD
Hit
A BTC close below $64,500 within 3 sessions breaks the $65,000 floor and invalidates the orderly-consolidation read