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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below $82,000 within 5 sessions as the range resolves lower
Two Asia-Pacific Central Banks Went Hawkish and Cr...
≤ $82,000.00 $81,336.01 Hit Oct 22, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above its session high of $83,225.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the week's ceiling
Two Asia-Pacific Central Banks Went Hawkish and Cr...
≥ $83,225.00 $82,486.48 Hit Oct 22, 2026
TSLA
TSLA closes above its 90-day high of $384.52 within 10 sessions
NextDC Loses Half Its Market Cap on Power Delays —...
≥ $384.52 $383.60 Hit Oct 22, 2026
META
META closes below $681.18 within 5 sessions as the five-session losing run extends
NextDC Loses Half Its Market Cap on Power Delays —...
≤ $681.18 $656.85 Hit Oct 22, 2026
NVDA
NVDA closes below $212.78 within 5 sessions, breaking the level buyers defended Tuesday
NextDC Loses Half Its Market Cap on Power Delays —...
≤ $212.78 $213.82 Hit Oct 22, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $524.67 within 5 sessions if the data center power bottleneck spreads to chip demand
NextDC Loses Half Its Market Cap on Power Delays —...
≤ $524.67 $511.69 Hit Oct 22, 2026
AVAX/USD
Decline extends if AVAX closes below $9.431 within 5 sessions
Stablecoin Transfers Quadrupled to $891B. The Floa...
≤ $9.4310 $9.3720 Hit Oct 22, 2026
ETH/USD
Ecosystem thesis remains disconnected from price if ETH closes below $2,372.62 within 7 sessions
Stablecoin Transfers Quadrupled to $891B. The Floa...
≤ $2,372.62 $2,384.36 Hit Oct 22, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $520.00 within 10 sessions as the drawdown converges toward NVIDIA's
Huang Says the AI Story Is Intact. AMD Just Gave B...
≤ $520.00 $511.69 Hit Oct 22, 2026
AMD
The contained-credit view fails if AMD closes below the widely watched $520.00 round number within ten sessions
CoreWeave's Credit Signal Hit the Chip Complex — a...
≤ $520.00 $511.69 Hit Oct 22, 2026
XAU/USD
The energy-led cost-push read holds and the 90-day low returns to play if XAU/USD closes below $4,111.84 within 5 sessions
Crude Is Passing Into Freight and Food. Gold Is No...
≤ $4,111.84 $4,133.11 Hit Oct 21, 2026
ETH/USD
Settlement demand registering if ETH closes above $2,417.66 within 7 sessions
Stablecoin Transfers Quadrupled to $891B. The Floa...
≥ $2,417.66 $2,441.46 Hit Oct 21, 2026
AMD
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its session low of $539.72 within seven sessions, signaling credit stress reached the demand curve
Oil and a 30% Korean IPO Flop Hit the AI Financing...
≤ $539.72 $544.56 Hit Oct 21, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above the $220.00 round number within five sessions, confirming the compute bid broadened beyond Amazon and AMD
Oil and a 30% Korean IPO Flop Hit the AI Financing...
≥ $220.00 $219.97 Hit Oct 21, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes above the $2,500 round number within 5 sessions, confirming the brokerage staking bid is real flow
Interactive Brokers Just Made ETH a Yield Product....
≥ $2,500.00 — expired Miss Oct 21, 2026
DLR
Thesis fails if Digital Realty closes below $172 within 30 days
The Fed Just Repriced the AI Buildout's Cheapest I...
≤ $172.00 — expired Miss Oct 21, 2026
DLR
Digital Realty closing above $190 within 30 days confirms leasing power is absorbing higher rates
The Fed Just Repriced the AI Buildout's Cheapest I...
≥ $190.00 — expired Miss Oct 21, 2026
AMZN
Cash-hours bid confirmed if Amazon closes above $263.05 within 5 sessions
Trump's Sanctions Waiver Bought the AI Complex $27...
≥ $263.05 $263.38 Hit Oct 20, 2026
AMD
Relief bid unearned if AMD closes below $539.72 within 5 sessions
Trump's Sanctions Waiver Bought the AI Complex $27...
≤ $539.72 $542.19 Hit Oct 20, 2026
META
Dispersion thesis fails if Meta closes below its $693.86 session low within five sessions
Asia Sold the AI Trade at 2%. New York Bought It B...
≤ $693.86 $692.76 Hit Oct 20, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 5 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 5 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 5 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago