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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
TSLA
A close below the session low of $347.33 within 5 sessions negates the reversal
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≤ $347.33 — expired Miss Sep 7, 2026
BNB/USD
BNB/USD closes above $756.88 within five sessions, confirming the breakout from the 90-day high
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr...
≥ $756.88 $751.56 Hit Sep 6, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes below $2,356.41 within three sessions, confirming the breakdown
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge
≤ $2,356.41 — expired Miss Sep 5, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes below $214.00 within five sessions, confirming the capital-spending discount is a regime feature rather than a one-day reaction
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in...
≤ $214.00 — expired Miss Sep 5, 2026
NVDA
A close above the session high of $227.95 within 5 sessions confirms the range extension in AI silicon
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost...
≥ $227.95 $230.35 Hit Sep 4, 2026
NVDA
Nvidia closes above $227.95 within 5 sessions, confirming the breakout after the volume-backed 3.13% session
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —...
≥ $227.95 $230.35 Hit Sep 4, 2026
META
Meta closes above $600.33 within ten sessions, confirming monetized-volume leadership
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof...
≥ $600.33 $610.80 Hit Sep 3, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above $227.95 within eight sessions, confirming the earnings-realization bid
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof...
≥ $227.95 $228.50 Hit Sep 3, 2026
ETH/USD
A close above $2,429.00 within five sessions invalidates the breakdown thesis
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge
≥ $2,429.00 $2,508.18 Hit Sep 3, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes above its $327.30 session high within 5 sessions, confirming the defensive bid
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $...
≥ $327.30 $328.22 Hit Sep 3, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes below $352.96 within 5 sessions after the 3.22% break and lower-third close
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi...
≤ $352.96 $356.24 Hit Sep 2, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes above $327.30 within 5 sessions, extending the 2.61% session gain toward the 52-week high
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi...
≥ $327.30 $325.03 Hit Sep 2, 2026
NVDA
A close above the 90-day high of $227.83 within 10 sessions confirms semiconductor revisions are being priced
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≥ $227.83 $224.25 Hit Sep 2, 2026
GOOGL
A close below the session low of $337.16 within 5 sessions confirms the hyperscaler de-rating is extending
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≤ $337.16 $337.12 Hit Sep 2, 2026
DOGE/USD
DOGE/USD closes below $0.0808 within five sessions as the high-beta tail keeps absorbing the downside
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≤ $0.0808 $0.0817 Hit Sep 1, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below $77,392 within five sessions, meaning the hawkish rate repricing reached the majors and the thesis fails
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≤ $77,392.00 $77,477.87 Hit Sep 1, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above $78,802 within five sessions, confirming the reversal it failed to close through on August 31
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≥ $78,802.00 $78,077.99 Hit Sep 1, 2026
MSFT
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its prior close of $505.06 within eight sessions, indicating uniform multiple compression across the AI complex
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in...
≤ $505.06 $501.02 Hit Sep 1, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $525 within ten sessions, confirming capital is rotating within the AI complex toward the compute supply chain
The ECB Says the AI Rally Will Correct. Inside the...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Aug 27, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below 1.1510 within 10 sessions
Five of Eight Majors Sit Within a Tenth of a Perce...
≤ $1.1510 — expired Miss Aug 26, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
MSFT
41% (22)
META
64% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 15 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 15 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes back at its 90-day low of 1.3767 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.3767 · 1 day ago
USD/JPY Pending
Carry-trade signal breaks if USD/JPY closes below its 90-day low of 153.53 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $153.53 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Call fails if Meta closes below the $656.47 session low within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $656.47 · 2 days ago