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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
JPM
JPMorgan closes above its 52-week high of $366.50 within ten sessions, confirming the intermediary-versus-consumer spread
Oil Broke Europe's Four-Week Rally — The Damage La...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Aug 25, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $530 within ten sessions, confirming internal re-rating of the compute complex
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead...
≥ $530.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
XAU/USD
Thesis fails and the equity rout was right if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,310.61 within 10 sessions
Miners Got Routed on Two Continents While the Meta...
≤ $4,310.61 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
GEV
Cost-advantage thesis weakens if GEV falls below $420 within 30 days, signaling tariff exemptions or demand-side deterioration
Tariff Inflation Is a Power-and-Silicon Tax on AI...
≤ $420.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
GEV
Domestic-content thesis confirmed if GEV holds above $450 within 30 days as tariff pressure persists on import-exposed hardware vendors
Tariff Inflation Is a Power-and-Silicon Tax on AI...
≥ $450.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
XRP/USD
XRP/USD closes below $0.9900 within five sessions, confirming the dollar level is lost despite the token safe-harbour proposal
The SEC Just Offered Tokens a Way Out of Securitie...
≤ $0.9900 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
SOL/USD
A close below $75.20 within five sessions means Tuesday's lone green print was noise, not a policy bid
The SEC Just Offered Tokens a Way Out of Securitie...
≤ $75.2000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above the $370.00 round number within ten sessions, confirming cyclical earnings leadership over the platform layer
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O...
≥ $370.00 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
META
A close below the 52-week low of $520.26 within 20 sessions invalidates the view that Meta is the underpriced beneficiary of lower energy input costs
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≤ $520.26 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
USDINR
A close below 95.80 within 30 days would confirm that $676 billion in reserves and RBI intervention have successfully anchored the rupee against the oil-price shock.
The Cedi Widens Its Spread and India Builds Its Wa...
≤ $95.8000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
USDINR
If USD/INR closes above 97.50 within 30 days, RBI intervention has failed to arrest the structural import-driven depreciation trend and the rupee soft-floor thesis is invalidated.
The Cedi Widens Its Spread and India Builds Its Wa...
≥ $97.5000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
NVDA
A close above $236.54 — the 52-week high — within 30 days would confirm NVDA has decoupled from the megacap earnings-driven selloff and resumed its structural uptrend.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG...
≥ $236.54 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below $475.00 within 5 sessions after the volume-confirmed 3% break
A Stablecoin Issuer Just Got a Bank Charter — Visa...
≤ $475.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
V
Visa closes below $355.00 within 5 sessions as the charter fade extends from the session low
A Stablecoin Issuer Just Got a Bank Charter — Visa...
≤ $355.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
AMD
A close above $525.00 within 7 sessions invalidates the stretched verdict and confirms a genuine second-source re-rating
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
AMZN
Amazon closes below $258.34 within 5 sessions on record diesel crack costs
Hormuz Strike Keeps Crude Above $90 — and the Mega...
≤ $258.34 $258.57 Hit Aug 21, 2026
AUD/USD
Funding-relief thesis confirmed if AUD/USD trades above $0.7162 within 10 sessions
Fed Hike Bets Fade, Rupee Slips to 95.61 — And the...
≥ $0.7162 $0.7171 Hit Aug 21, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above the $366.50 52-week high within 5 sessions
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $520.00 within 5 sessions, extending the breakout from the $514.40 close
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red...
≥ $520.00 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
USD/CAD
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes above 1.4025 within 10 sessions, showing a broad dollar bid has overwhelmed the commodity channel
Hormuz Is Repricing the Loonie, Not the Franc — an...
≥ $1.4025 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
MSFT
41% (22)
META
64% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 15 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 15 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes back at its 90-day low of 1.3767 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.3767 · 1 day ago
USD/JPY Pending
Carry-trade signal breaks if USD/JPY closes below its 90-day low of 153.53 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $153.53 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Call fails if Meta closes below the $656.47 session low within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $656.47 · 2 days ago