AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD |
The Hormuz premium was never in gold if XAU/USD closes below $4,340 within 10 sessions
Hormuz Is Now a Fertilizer Story, Not Just a Crude... |
≤ $4,340.00 | $4,332.12 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below $500.00 within 5 sessions
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red... |
≤ $500.00 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails and gold treats the risk premium as fully priced if XAU/USD closes below $4,350 within 10 sessions
The Rhine Ran Dry and Crude Caught a Bid — Gold Mo... |
≤ $4,350.00 | $4,332.12 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $258.00 within 7 sessions as softening July retail sales weigh on consumer-exposed megacaps
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega... |
≤ $258.00 | $259.46 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $483.27 within 10 sessions, confirming Friday's 6.50% advance was positioning rather than a re-rating
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega... |
≤ $483.27 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its session low of $483.27 within ten sessions
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead... |
≤ $483.27 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closing below $360.00 within 10 sessions confirms the $366.49 breakout failed
The Rotation Into Tech Is Real — But JPMorgan Prin... |
≤ $360.00 | $363.31 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD's exhaustion print resolves lower with a close below $480.00 within 5 sessions
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≤ $480.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| V |
Visa confirms the rails bid with a close above $366.97 within 5 sessions
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≥ $366.97 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| NZD/USD |
Thesis confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5800 within 5 sessions, relief confined to funding currencies
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And... |
≤ $0.5800 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid is compounding on the rate-hold bid if XAU/USD closes above $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
Hormuz Is Now a Fertilizer Story, Not Just a Crude... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $260.00 within 5 sessions on the weakest close structure of the board
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red... |
≤ $260.00 | $261.33 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Gold confirms it is repricing the same geopolitical risk bidding crude if XAU/USD closes above $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
The Rhine Ran Dry and Crude Caught a Bid — Gold Mo... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $260.00 within seven sessions as oil-driven pressure on household budgets reprices consumer demand
Oil Broke Europe's Four-Week Rally — The Damage La... |
≤ $260.00 | $261.33 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $585 within five sessions as the failed-gap distribution pattern extends
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead... |
≤ $585.00 | $569.01 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Physical tightening thesis confirmed if XAU/USD closes above the 90-day high of $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
Miners Got Routed on Two Continents While the Meta... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closing above its $227.21 session high within 5 sessions keeps AI leadership intact
The Rotation Into Tech Is Real — But JPMorgan Prin... |
≥ $227.21 | $225.05 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AUD/USD |
View reverses if AUD/USD trades above 0.7100 within 10 sessions alongside broad dollar softness
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And... |
≥ $0.7100 | $0.7104 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $575.00 within five sessions as the failed gap-up distribution extends
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O... |
≤ $575.00 | $569.01 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis fails if JPMorgan closes below its session low of $361.29 within five sessions, marking the bank bid as another inflation-relief trade
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O... |
≤ $361.29 | $361.20 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |