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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
BTC/USD
Macro drag deepens if bitcoin closes below $82,000 within 10 sessions
Europe Just Made USDC a Supervised Instrument. The...
≤ $82,000.00 $80,911.43 Hit Oct 15, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes back above 1.1178 within 10 sessions
Hot CPI Broke the Periphery First: Kiwi to a 52-We...
≥ $1.1178 $1.1206 Hit Oct 15, 2026
XAU/USD
The breakdown extends and the 90-day low comes back into play if XAU/USD closes below $4,120 within 5 sessions
China's Factory Gate Is Where the Inflation Is. Go...
≤ $4,120.00 $4,151.24 Hit Oct 15, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $570.88 within 7 sessions as the semiconductor selloff extends
Seven of Ten Megacaps Closed Green — The Chip Rout...
≤ $570.88 $549.47 Hit Oct 15, 2026
NVDA
NVDA closes below $223.09 within 5 sessions if the memory-driven chip fade continues
Seven of Ten Megacaps Closed Green — The Chip Rout...
≤ $223.09 $217.31 Hit Oct 15, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $575.00 within 7 sessions after shutting on the session low
The Chip Rout Went Global — KOSPI Fell 6% and AMD...
≤ $575.00 $549.47 Hit Oct 15, 2026
NVDA
NVDA closes below $221.00 within 7 sessions as the semiconductor fade extends
The Chip Rout Went Global — KOSPI Fell 6% and AMD...
≤ $221.00 $217.31 Hit Oct 15, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes below $220.00 within 7 sessions if the AI-capex leadership continues to narrow
Meta's $31.83 Alone Beat the Entire Megacap Basket...
≤ $220.00 $217.31 Hit Oct 15, 2026
NVDA
A NVDA close above $233.89 within 5 sessions invalidates the semi-fade view
Yields Bite the Chips, Not the Cash Flows — NVDA a...
≥ $233.89 — expired Miss Oct 15, 2026
USD/CAD
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes below 1.4180 within 10 sessions
Mumbai Spends $50 Billion to Stand Still While Ott...
≤ $1.4180 $1.4199 Hit Oct 15, 2026
AUD/USD
Commodity-bloc breakdown confirmed if AUD/USD closes below 0.6911, its 90-day low, within 10 sessions
Tokyo Legislates, Moscow Licenses — and the FX Mar...
≤ $0.6911 $0.6913 Hit Oct 15, 2026
USD/JPY
Defensive-dollar read confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 157.00 within 7 sessions
Five of Eight Majors Closed at a 90-Day Extreme —...
≤ $157.00 — expired Miss Oct 15, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes back above 1.1300 within 10 sessions
The Euro Hit a 17-Month Low Against a Dollar Nobod...
≥ $1.1300 — expired Miss Oct 15, 2026
BTC/USD
Institutional bid confirmed if Bitcoin closes above $86,999.11 within 10 sessions
Washington Stopped Waiting for Congress — and S&P...
≥ $86,999.11 — expired Miss Oct 15, 2026
XAU/USD
The 30-session downtrend resumes if XAU/USD closes below $4,120 within 5 sessions
Russian Strikes Put a Risk Premium Back in Crude....
≤ $4,120.00 $4,081.12 Hit Oct 14, 2026
XRP/USD
The custody discount spreads beyond smart-contract chains if XRP closes below $1.3431 within 5 sessions
A $93 Million Supply-Chain Breach Hit the One Laye...
≤ $1.3431 $1.3338 Hit Oct 14, 2026
XAU/USD
The 30-session downtrend has resumed if XAU/USD closes below $4,150 within 7 sessions
India Just Moved Its Crude Bill Off the Spot Marke...
≤ $4,150.00 $4,081.12 Hit Oct 14, 2026
EUR/USD
Dollar-side continuation confirmed if EUR/USD closes below 1.1130 within 10 sessions
Mumbai Spends $50 Billion to Stand Still While Ott...
≤ $1.1130 $1.1122 Hit Oct 14, 2026
TSLA
Breakout confirmed if Tesla closes above Friday's session high of $388.53 within 5 sessions
Oil Backs Off on Trump's Iran Pledge — and the Bid...
≥ $388.53 — expired Miss Oct 14, 2026
AMD
Thesis fails if AMD reclaims $645.86 within 5 sessions, signaling the capex assumption survived the headline
OpenAI's Revenue Is $20 Billion Short of the Pitch...
≥ $645.86 — expired Miss Oct 14, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 5 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 5 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 5 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago