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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
83.8%
67/80 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
83.8%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
80
67 hit · 13 missed
Open Calls
39
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
80 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
META
Below $590.00 within 5 sessions, the pre-earnings selling in Meta extends.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest...
≤ $590.00 $593.32 Hit Jul 28, 2026
BTC/USD
A BTC close below $64,500 within 3 sessions breaks the $65,000 floor and invalidates the orderly-consolidation read
Two Exchanges Died in Three Days and Bitcoin Moved...
≤ $64,500.00 $63,902.86 Hit Jul 28, 2026
BTC/USD
A close below the $63,810 session low within three sessions invalidates the constructive read on the majors
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat...
≤ $63,810.00 $63,902.86 Hit Jul 28, 2026
XAU/USD
Selloff treated as an over-reaction if XAU/USD closes above $4,141.06 within 5 sessions, restoring the crude-oil inflation narrative
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the...
≥ $4,141.06 — expired Miss Jul 28, 2026
XAU/USD
Gold thesis breaks down if XAU/USD closes below $4,000.00 within 5 sessions — confirming the jobless claims print cracked the inflation-hedge premium
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the...
≤ $4,000.00 — expired Miss Jul 28, 2026
JPM
A close above $354.98 within 5 sessions breaks the 52-week high and extends the bid toward near-duration cash-flow names.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≥ $354.98 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
MSFT
A close above the session high of $389.03 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's failed gap-up was pre-earnings positioning rather than distribution.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≥ $389.03 $389.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
V
Visa closes above $358.00 within 10 sessions as ad-valorem pricing leadership persists
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≥ $358.00 $362.24 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $518.00 within 5 sessions as the capital-intensity de-rating extends
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes above $324.18 within 10 sessions, confirming the re-rating of discounted pricing-power assets
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≥ $324.18 $326.34 Hit Jul 27, 2026
MSFT
Thesis reverses if MSFT reclaims $389.03 within 10 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $389.03 $389.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
JPM breakout confirmed on a close above $355 within 5 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
A close below the session low of $306.51 within 3 sessions opens the 52-week low of $297.82 as the next reference point
Musk Drops $130 Billion in a Week — and Tesla Sits...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
A close below $518.00 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's gap-up reversal was distribution
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $334.99 within 10 sessions extends the cash-conversion leadership
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
A close above $355.00 within 10 sessions confirms capital-light leadership is broadening beyond Apple
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
Post-earnings breakdown extends below $306.51 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
Long-side case invalidated on a close below $518.00 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $334.99 52-week high within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
BTC/USD
Bitcoin closes above $65,000 within three sessions, confirming the rotation is supported by the benchmark
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat...
≥ $65,000.00 $65,015.24 Hit Jul 27, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
J
16/16 calls hit
100%
E
1/1 calls hit
100%
V
19/21 calls hit
90.5%
M
12/14 calls hit
85.7%
R
15/19 calls hit
78.9%
P
2/3 calls hit
66.7%
A
2/4 calls hit
50%
M
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
BTC/USD
85% (13)
AMD
92% (12)
AAPL
100% (9)
NVDA
75% (8)
JPM
100% (7)
TSLA
83% (6)
XAU/USD
50% (4)
MSFT
100% (3)
Open Calls
last 7 days
AMD Pending
A close below $470 within 5 sessions confirms the gap-up was distribution rather than a genuine revision.
Target: ≤ $470.00 · 14 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the session high of $515.62 within 10 sessions reverses the stretched verdict entirely.
Target: ≥ $515.62 · 14 hours ago
NVDA Pending
A close above the session high of $202.00 within 5 sessions confirms NVIDIA holds the accelerator leadership.
Target: ≥ $202.00 · 14 hours ago
BTC/USD Pending
BTC closes below $62,500 within three sessions as exchange-bound supply caps rallies
Target: ≤ $62,500.00 · 18 hours ago
BTC/USD Pending
A close above $63,634 within three sessions invalidates the supply-overhang read
Target: ≥ $63,634.00 · 18 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH closes below $1,845 within three sessions after failing at $1,884.69 on record ETF inflows
Target: ≤ $1,845.00 · 18 hours ago
GOOGL Pending
Alphabet closes above its session high of $358.58 within 5 sessions, confirming intraday accumulation is driving the re-rating
Target: ≥ $358.58 · 22 hours ago
AAPL Pending
Thesis flips if Apple closes above $310.69 within 5 sessions, repairing the gap-down and rewarding discounted cash generation
Target: ≥ $310.69 · 22 hours ago
NVDA Pending
Sorting thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $194.95 within 5 sessions, signaling a correlated de-rating rather than dispersion
Target: ≤ $194.95 · 22 hours ago
BTC/USD Pending
BTC closes below $62,000 within five sessions, meaning the custody story became a bitcoin story
Target: ≤ $62,000.00 · 1 day ago