AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT |
A close above the 90-day high of $513.87 within 10 sessions reverses the de-rating view
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G... |
≥ $513.87 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $513.87 within ten sessions, confirming platform leadership over merchant compute
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≥ $513.87 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Nvidia closes above the $236.54 52-week high within 10 sessions
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of... |
≥ $236.54 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 155.00 within five sessions
Rising Yields, a Falling Dollar: Japan's 4.7% Wage... |
≥ $155.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Funding-side thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 152.91 within five sessions
Rising Yields, a Falling Dollar: Japan's 4.7% Wage... |
≤ $152.91 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its $458.00 session low within 5 sessions
The AI Rotation Call Meets a Board Where NVDA and... |
≤ $458.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $440.51 within ten sessions, confirming idiosyncratic de-rating rather than macro sensitivity
Waller Killed the Hike Trade and Nine of Ten Megac... |
≤ $440.51 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below $452.35 within 10 sessions extends the AMD de-rating toward the 90-day low
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost... |
≤ $452.35 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes below its $351.38 session low within five sessions, confirming the Cybercab review was a repricing rather than a one-day flush
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t... |
≤ $351.38 | — expired | Miss | Sep 12, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes below $77,952.00 within three sessions, killing the absorption thesis
PPI Ran Hot, Bond Yields Hit a 19-Year High, and B... |
≤ $77,952.00 | $77,289.46 | Hit | Sep 11, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH/USD closes above $2,515.95 within five sessions, confirming the macro shock was absorbed
PPI Ran Hot, Bond Yields Hit a 19-Year High, and B... |
≥ $2,515.95 | $2,513.02 | Hit | Sep 11, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes below $351.38 within 5 sessions as the gap-down unwind extends
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh... |
≤ $351.38 | — expired | Miss | Sep 11, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
A close above $346.59 within 10 sessions reverses the view and reframes the drop as positioning
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G... |
≥ $346.59 | — expired | Miss | Sep 11, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Capacity-friction thesis confirmed if NVDA closes below $220 within 7 sessions
The Data Center Backlash Is an Enterprise Budget S... |
≤ $220.00 | $218.01 | Hit | Sep 10, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below the $490.16 session low within 5 sessions confirms discount-rate pressure on megacap platforms
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —... |
≤ $490.16 | $491.76 | Hit | Sep 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below $225.00 within 3 sessions confirms the failed-gap read in AI silicon
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —... |
≤ $225.00 | $218.01 | Hit | Sep 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVDA closes below the widely watched $225.00 round number within 5 sessions after the failed gap
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T... |
≤ $225.00 | $218.01 | Hit | Sep 10, 2026 |
| BNB/USD |
BNB/USD closes below $719.49 within five sessions, meaning the rotation failed and the thesis is dead
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr... |
≤ $719.49 | — expired | Miss | Sep 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $218.48 within eight sessions
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof... |
≤ $218.48 | — expired | Miss | Sep 10, 2026 |
| META |
A close above the widely watched $620.00 round number within 5 sessions supports the consumption rotation
The AI Rotation Call Meets a Board Where NVDA and... |
≥ $620.00 | $656.75 | Hit | Sep 9, 2026 |