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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above $82,500 within 5 sessions, confirming the decoupling from the global chip rout
Eight for Eight Green on the Day China Fell Into a...
≥ $82,500.00 — expired Miss Oct 28, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below its session low of $508.67 within five sessions as the capex de-rating continues
The Chip Rout Went Global. Visa Printed a 52-Week...
≤ $508.67 — expired Miss Oct 28, 2026
^IXIC
Credit scare was contained if the Nasdaq Composite closes above 26,800 within 10 sessions
Smartphone Shipments Fell 22% While AI Capex Boome...
≥ $26,800.00 — expired Miss Oct 28, 2026
^IXIC
Financing stress is broadening if the Nasdaq Composite closes below 25,600 within 10 sessions
Smartphone Shipments Fell 22% While AI Capex Boome...
≤ $25,600.00 — expired Miss Oct 28, 2026
AMD
Thesis fails if AMD closes above $562.23 within 10 sessions, reclaiming the pre-gap level
Huang Says the AI Story Is Intact. AMD Just Gave B...
≥ $562.23 — expired Miss Oct 28, 2026
SOL/USD
Exploit absorbed as idiosyncratic if SOL closes above $101.67 within 5 sessions
A $947,000 Bot Exploit on Solana Is a Custody Prob...
≥ $101.67 $101.40 Hit Oct 27, 2026
SOL/USD
Application-layer trust discount extends if SOL closes below $99.88 within 5 sessions
A $947,000 Bot Exploit on Solana Is a Custody Prob...
≤ $99.8800 $100.08 Hit Oct 27, 2026
GOOGL
Thesis fails if Alphabet closes below $317.63 within five sessions, signaling the de-rating continues
Alphabet Enters Earnings at a 90-Day Low While Chi...
≤ $317.63 $321.80 Hit Oct 27, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet's selling is exhausted if it closes above Monday's high of $321.45 within five sessions
Alphabet Enters Earnings at a 90-Day Low While Chi...
≥ $321.45 $321.80 Hit Oct 27, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet's 90-day breakdown is confirmed if it closes below $320.30 within 5 sessions
ETF Flows Faded at $81,300. Megacaps Split: Apple...
≤ $320.30 $321.80 Hit Oct 27, 2026
BTC/USD
Thesis fails if BTC/USD closes above its session high of $84,377.21 within 5 sessions
Tesla's Capex Line Moved Bitcoin. SoFi's Tokenized...
≥ $84,377.21 — expired Miss Oct 27, 2026
USD/CAD
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes above 1.4230 within 10 sessions
India Sold $59.7 Billion of Dollars in Six Weeks....
≥ $1.4230 — expired Miss Oct 27, 2026
XAU/USD
The thesis fails and the monetary bid has reasserted itself if XAU/USD closes above $4,200 within 10 sessions
The RBI Burned $59.7 Billion in Six Weeks. Gold Mo...
≥ $4,200.00 — expired Miss Oct 27, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above $345.56 within ten sessions as AI credit stress stays idiosyncratic rather than systemic
CoreWeave's Credit Signal Hit the Chip Complex — a...
≥ $345.56 — expired Miss Oct 27, 2026
GOOGL
Dispersion extends if Alphabet closes below $320.30, beneath its 90-day floor, within seven sessions
A Fed Meeting, Inflation Data and Peak Earnings Al...
≤ $320.30 $319.63 Hit Oct 26, 2026
AMD
Recovery confirmed if AMD closes above $523.88 within 5 sessions
MaxLinear Wants 30% of a Market Credo Owns 99% Of....
≥ $523.88 $529.50 Hit Oct 26, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes below its $319.74 90-day low within 10 sessions on capital-intensity concerns
S&P Is Rewriting What 'Value' Means — and Friday's...
≤ $319.74 $319.63 Hit Oct 26, 2026
V
Thesis fails if Visa closes below its $406.83 session low within 10 sessions
S&P Is Rewriting What 'Value' Means — and Friday's...
≤ $406.83 $403.73 Hit Oct 26, 2026
GOOGL
GOOGL closes below its 90-day low of $319.74 within 10 sessions
Oil Spike Gapped Tech Lower — Then Seven of Ten Cl...
≤ $319.74 $319.63 Hit Oct 26, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $523.88 within 5 sessions, confirming the chip stabilization
Oil Spike Gapped Tech Lower — Then Seven of Ten Cl...
≥ $523.88 $529.50 Hit Oct 26, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 5 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 5 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 5 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago