Trade-Advise
Dark mode
Trade-Advise
Sign Up
Light
Home › Track Record

AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
EUR/GBP
Thesis fails if EUR/GBP closes below its 90-day low of 0.8541 within 10 sessions
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar...
≤ $0.8541 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
GBP/USD
Sterling weakness confirms if GBP/USD closes below 1.3400 within 10 sessions
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar...
≤ $1.3400 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above its 90-day high of $81,292.01 within 10 sessions as ETF inflows absorb treasury-company supply
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr...
≥ $81,292.01 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AUD/USD
Commodity-bloc confirmation if AUD/USD trades above 0.7280 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to...
≥ $0.7280 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
USD/JPY
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 157.20 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to...
≥ $157.20 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
JPM
A JPMorgan close below $345.02 within 20 sessions would reframe this as a growth scare rather than a rate repricing
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $...
≤ $345.02 $345.13 Hit Sep 15, 2026
JPM
JPM closes below $353.56 within 5 sessions, fully unwinding the gap as the hawkish repricing fails to hold the bank bid
Ten of Ten Closed Green — But Half of Them Faded O...
≤ $353.56 $351.60 Hit Sep 14, 2026
JPM
JPM closes below $352.00 within 5 sessions as the gap fade extends
Nasdaq Put $100 Million Into Kraken's Parent — and...
≤ $352.00 $351.60 Hit Sep 14, 2026
GOOGL
GOOGL closes above $345.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the laggard rotation
Nasdaq Put $100 Million Into Kraken's Parent — and...
≥ $345.00 $345.97 Hit Sep 14, 2026
USD/JPY
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 154.80 within 10 sessions, restoring the August range chop
India Bought $44.9 Billion of Dollars and the Doll...
≥ $154.80 $154.43 Hit Sep 14, 2026
XAU/USD
Compression resolves lower: XAU/USD closes below $4,320 within 8 sessions
India Raised $44.9 Billion in a Week Without Touch...
≤ $4,320.00 $4,289.04 Hit Sep 14, 2026
XAU/USD
Friday's rally was mechanical and the risk premium stays in energy if XAU/USD closes below $4,297.93 within 5 sessions
Crude's Transit Tax Landed in Mumbai, Not in Gold...
≤ $4,297.93 $4,289.04 Hit Sep 14, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes above $325.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the reversal and killing our prior downside call
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot...
≥ $325.00 $332.89 Hit Sep 14, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes below $215.00 within 5 sessions, extending the red streak
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot...
≤ $215.00 $211.13 Hit Sep 14, 2026
AAPL
A close above $325.00 within 5 sessions marks Thursday's 2.14% gain as durable rather than a single-session bid
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London...
≥ $325.00 $332.89 Hit Sep 14, 2026
NVDA
A close below the widely watched $215.00 round number within 5 sessions extends the discount-rate compression in AI silicon
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London...
≤ $215.00 $211.13 Hit Sep 14, 2026
JPM
A fifth consecutive red close below the $351.12 session low within 3 sessions confirms the rate-hike margin tailwind is not being capitalized in bank shares
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London...
≤ $351.12 — expired Miss Sep 14, 2026
V
Visa closes below $365.00 within 5 sessions if the travel-sentiment read-through extends
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T...
≤ $365.00 — expired Miss Sep 14, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 5 sessions as the semis bid extends
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Sep 14, 2026
USD/JPY
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes back above the 156.29 session high within seven sessions
The Yen Broke Its 90-Day Floor With Wall Street Cl...
≥ $156.29 — expired Miss Sep 14, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
MSFT
41% (22)
META
64% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 15 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 15 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes back at its 90-day low of 1.3767 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.3767 · 1 day ago
USD/JPY Pending
Carry-trade signal breaks if USD/JPY closes below its 90-day low of 153.53 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $153.53 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Call fails if Meta closes below the $656.47 session low within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $656.47 · 2 days ago