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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
AMD
Long-side case invalidated on a close below $518.00 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $334.99 52-week high within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
BTC/USD
Bitcoin closes above $65,000 within three sessions, confirming the rotation is supported by the benchmark
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat...
≥ $65,000.00 $65,015.24 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $334.99 within 5 sessions confirms the Friday re-rating is genuine; failure to breach it signals the move was positional rather than fundamental.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above $334.99 within 5 sessions confirms a 52-week high breakout; below $321.62, the Friday gap-up is an isolated event with no follow-through.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
XAU/USD
Momentum case weakens and $4,000 psychological floor comes into play if XAU/USD closes below $4,022.09 within 5 sessions
Ghana's Cocoa Pivot and a $42 Gold Range That Said...
≤ $4,022.09 $4,078.38 Hit Jul 27, 2026
XAU/USD
Gold consolidation resolves higher if XAU/USD closes above $4,100 within 5 sessions; geopolitical bid reasserting itself
Ghana's Cocoa Pivot and a $42 Gold Range That Said...
≥ $4,100.00 $4,078.38 Hit Jul 27, 2026
BTC/USD
A daily close above $67,000 within 5 sessions confirms ETF inflows are large enough to break the ceiling and validates the post-SEC-dismissal rally case
SEC Drops Coinbase Case — And the Chain Barely Bli...
≥ $67,000.00 — expired Miss Jul 27, 2026
NVDA
A sustained close below the session low of $204.81 within 5 sessions would indicate the gap-down open was not absorbed and AI semiconductor de-risking has further to run.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi...
≤ $204.81 $206.84 Hit Jul 26, 2026
NVDA
Above $211.91, momentum buyers re-engage; below $204.81, psychological support at $200 is the next test within 3 sessions.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $211.91 $206.84 Hit Jul 26, 2026
JPM
A close above $353.37 within 5 sessions marks a 52-week high and confirms the financials divergence from tech.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $353.37 $353.21 Hit Jul 26, 2026
AMD
Below $518.00, AMD's session low, the reversal accelerates with no data-anchored support until deeper levels.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≤ $518.00 $521.95 Hit Jul 26, 2026
AMD
Bulls need $549.00 reclaimed within 5 sessions or Friday's reversal defines the near-term ceiling.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $549.00 $521.95 Hit Jul 26, 2026
AAPL
Below $321.62, the breakout thesis fails and the gap partially fills.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≤ $321.62 $333.02 Hit Jul 26, 2026
TSLA
A close below $315.73 — Friday's session low — within 5 sessions exposes the 52-week low of $297.82 as the next structural reference point.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG...
≤ $315.73 $313.03 Hit Jul 25, 2026
ETH/USD
A close beneath $1,912.60 within 10 sessions would signal that macro pressure is eroding the ETF-bid support that held ETH above $1,850 through the prior weekend.
CLARITY Act Odds Collapse to 38% — What It Means f...
≤ $1,912.60 $1,862.43 Hit Jul 24, 2026
BTC/USD
A close below $65,351.02 within 10 sessions extends the correction and opens the path toward the $63,000 psychological level.
CLARITY Act Odds Collapse to 38% — What It Means f...
≤ $65,351.02 $64,238.47 Hit Jul 24, 2026
JPM
A close above $351.24 within 10 sessions would confirm the late-cycle rotation into financials is accelerating as AI application-layer names remain under pressure
Alphabet and Tesla Earnings Crack the AI Consensus...
≥ $351.24 $353.18 Hit Jul 24, 2026
META
A close below $624.00 within 5 sessions would confirm the fade-off-strength pattern and signal further compression toward the $600 psychological level
Alphabet and Tesla Earnings Crack the AI Consensus...
≤ $624.00 $595.25 Hit Jul 24, 2026
NVDA
A retreat below $204.95 invalidates the gap-down recovery thesis and suggests renewed selling pressure across the AI complex
Alphabet and Tesla Earnings Crack the AI Consensus...
≤ $204.95 $207.06 Hit Jul 24, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 5 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 5 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 5 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 19 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago