AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD |
Bearish semi view invalidated if AMD closes above $457.22 within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —... |
≥ $457.22 | $476.05 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close below the $63,603.92 session low within three sessions invalidates the relief-rally read
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid... |
≤ $63,603.92 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A BTC close above $65,150 within three sessions confirms the Fed-hold bid is real buying rather than a reflex
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid... |
≥ $65,150.00 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH closes below $1,884.51 within five sessions as the majors lag bitcoin
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≤ $1,884.51 | $1,868.41 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC closes below $63,598 within three sessions, confirming the pre-FOMC bid was positioning rather than conviction
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≤ $63,598.00 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| TSLA |
A close above the session high of $322.96 within 5 sessions would invalidate the view that Tesla is trading as a correlated Musk-complex exposure
Musk Drops $130 Billion in a Week — and Tesla Sits... |
≥ $322.96 | — expired | Miss | Jul 31, 2026 |
| AVAX/USD |
AVAX closing back below $6.304 within five sessions marks the 6.2% advance as a one-day artifact
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat... |
≤ $6.3040 | — expired | Miss | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close above $65,000 within three sessions invalidates the hawkish-risk read and confirms bitcoin is trading independently of the rate path
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≥ $65,000.00 | $64,794.05 | Hit | Jul 30, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Above $234.95 within 5 sessions, buyers reclaim control of Amazon into and after Thursday's report.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest... |
≥ $234.95 | $235.53 | Hit | Jul 30, 2026 |
| V |
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $371.14 52-week high within 5 sessions
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≥ $371.14 | $369.00 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Containment thesis fails on a close below $192.74 within 5 sessions
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≤ $192.74 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below $442.35 within 3 sessions says the Seoul chip selling has legs beyond one name
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≤ $442.35 | $429.16 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis invalidated if JPMorgan closes below $352.58 within 5 sessions, signaling a correlated liquidity event rather than rotation
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≤ $352.58 | $345.02 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below its session low of $195.44 within 5 sessions as the semiconductor de-rating extends
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≤ $195.44 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes above its 52-week high of $365.14 within 10 sessions, confirming capital-light pricing power remains market leadership
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≥ $365.14 | $369.00 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close above the 52-week high of $339.57 within 5 sessions confirms rotation into near-duration cash-flow names
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≥ $339.57 | $338.40 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below the session low of $476.93 within 5 sessions confirms the repricing of AI capex exposure
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≤ $476.93 | $429.16 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the July 28 session low of $195.44 within 5 sessions confirms AI semiconductor de-risking has further to run
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≤ $195.44 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| EUR/USD |
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes above 1.1450 within 10 sessions on a dovish Fed outcome
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First... |
≥ $1.1450 | $1.1462 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| JPM |
Rotation thesis fails if JPM closes below $347.50 within 5 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'... |
≤ $347.50 | $345.02 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |