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Home › Track Record

AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
GOOGL
A close below the session low of $356.83 within 5 sessions confirms the long-duration software markdown is extending beyond a single name.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev...
≤ $356.83 $354.33 Hit Aug 7, 2026
JPM
Thesis fails if JPMorgan closes below its session low of $354.62 within ten sessions, signaling the advance is narrowing back into semiconductors
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42...
≤ $354.62 $357.53 Hit Aug 7, 2026
JPM
The failed breakout at the $363.00 52-week high is confirmed if JPM closes below $354.62 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $354.62 — expired Miss Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
Sorting thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $194.95 within 5 sessions, signaling a correlated de-rating rather than dispersion
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I...
≤ $194.95 — expired Miss Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
A close above the session high of $222.22 within 5 sessions confirms NVIDIA retains accelerator leadership into the record at $236.54
AMD Beat and Still Lost $36.83 a Share — 93% of It...
≥ $222.22 $218.75 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AMD
A close below the session low of $478.41 within 5 sessions confirms the gap-down became a ceiling and the de-rating extends
AMD Beat and Still Lost $36.83 a Share — 93% of It...
≤ $478.41 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
XAU/USD
Rate-driven bid confirmed if XAU/USD closes above $4,250 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Reopens on Paper, Gold Adds $114 — Somebody...
≥ $4,250.00 $4,239.75 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below its session low of $502.41 within three sessions as the post-earnings pullback gives back part of the 8.33% advance
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42...
≤ $502.41 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AAPL
Apple divergence extends on a close below the $300.00 round number within 3 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≤ $300.00 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $470.00 within five sessions, confirming the market's rejection of the opening premium
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≤ $470.00 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL closes below $70.00 within five sessions as high-beta majors keep leading the complex lower
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin C...
≤ $70.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC closes below $62,000 within five sessions, meaning the custody story became a bitcoin story
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin C...
≤ $62,000.00 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
USD/JPY
USD/JPY reclaims a close above 158.45 within 10 sessions; a close below 156.87 reverses the view
The RBI Chose Plumbing Over Policy: $40.8 Billion...
≥ $158.45 $158.48 Hit Aug 6, 2026
USD/CHF
A sustained break of the 52-week high carries USD/CHF above 0.8250 within 10 sessions
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First...
≥ $0.8250 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
EUR/USD
EUR/USD closes below 1.1300, through its 52-week low, within 10 sessions if July hike pricing firms
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First...
≤ $1.1300 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
GEV
Failure to recover the pre-earnings high within 15 sessions signals execution risk on supply-chain delivery is being priced in beyond the quarterly EPS shortfall
GEV Drops on Q2 Miss While CEO Says Data Center Or...
≤ $0.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
GEV
A close above GEV's pre-earnings July 22 session high within 15 sessions confirms the market is re-weighting order backlog over the EPS miss; the thesis lives on continued recovery above that level
GEV Drops on Q2 Miss While CEO Says Data Center Or...
≥ $0.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
AMZN
The 52-week high rejection extends if AMZN closes below $275.86 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $275.86 $272.60 Hit Aug 5, 2026
AMD
The gap-up is erased if AMD closes below $502.41 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $502.41 $481.75 Hit Aug 5, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its session high of $490.95 within 10 sessions as the discounted semi catches up
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma...
≥ $490.95 $481.75 Hit Aug 5, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago