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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
BTC/USD
A daily close above the $65,409.56 session high within five sessions invalidates the rate-driven ceiling thesis
$40 Million Walked Out of Coldcard. Bitcoin's Prob...
≥ $65,409.56 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet's relative weakness confirms on a close below $331.99 within 5 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%....
≤ $331.99 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
MSFT
A close below $375.00 within 10 sessions signals the July 29 print failed to anchor the multiple and further compression follows.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≤ $375.00 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
META
Meta closes above $565.00 within fifteen sessions as the forward multiple expands toward its five-year average
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≥ $565.00 $587.75 Hit Aug 4, 2026
NVDA
Nvidia closes above its session high of $202.00 within ten sessions as backlog-funded leadership extends
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≥ $202.00 $211.90 Hit Aug 4, 2026
AMZN
A close above the 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions confirms the de-escalation move is a fundamental re-rating rather than a one-day repricing
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≥ $278.56 $277.33 Hit Aug 4, 2026
AMD
A close above the session high of $515.62 within 10 sessions reverses the stretched verdict entirely.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≥ $515.62 $525.00 Hit Aug 4, 2026
TSLA
52-week floor breaks if TSLA closes below $295.00 within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —...
≤ $295.00 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
V
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $373.97 52-week high within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —...
≥ $373.97 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
BNB/USD
BNB clears $600 within five sessions if its outperformance has legs beyond a single session
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid...
≥ $600.00 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
NVDA
A close above the session high of $202.00 within 5 sessions confirms NVIDIA holds the accelerator leadership.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≥ $202.00 $206.64 Hit Aug 3, 2026
AMD
A close below $470 within 5 sessions confirms the gap-up was distribution rather than a genuine revision.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≤ $470.00 $484.33 Hit Aug 3, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH closes below $1,845 within three sessions after failing at $1,884.69 on record ETF inflows
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro...
≤ $1,845.00 $1,872.78 Hit Aug 3, 2026
BTC/USD
A close above $63,634 within three sessions invalidates the supply-overhang read
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro...
≥ $63,634.00 $63,940.95 Hit Aug 3, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC closes below $62,500 within three sessions as exchange-bound supply caps rallies
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro...
≤ $62,500.00 $63,940.95 Hit Aug 3, 2026
AAPL
Thesis flips if Apple closes above $310.69 within 5 sessions, repairing the gap-down and rewarding discounted cash generation
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I...
≥ $310.69 $303.41 Hit Aug 3, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes above its session high of $358.58 within 5 sessions, confirming intraday accumulation is driving the re-rating
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I...
≥ $358.58 $373.47 Hit Aug 3, 2026
AMZN
Amazon closes above its 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions as cash-conversion leadership extends
Yields at a 19-Year High Didn't De-Rate Big Tech —...
≥ $278.56 $284.13 Hit Aug 3, 2026
AMZN
A close above the 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions confirms rotation into asset-light cash flow
Iran Stopped Two Tankers in Hormuz. Apple Gave Up...
≥ $278.56 $284.13 Hit Aug 3, 2026
MSFT
Gap thesis fails if MSFT closes below $438.50 within 3 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%....
≤ $438.50 — expired Miss Aug 3, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago