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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
ETH/USD
A close beneath $1,894.35 within 10 sessions would undercut the view that legislative risk is discounted
The Clarity Act Slipped to September and Crypto Cl...
≤ $1,894.35 $1,873.94 Hit Aug 10, 2026
BTC/USD
Thesis fails if BTC closes below the $64,166.00 session low within 10 sessions, indicating the Clarity Act delay was not already discounted
The Clarity Act Slipped to September and Crypto Cl...
≤ $64,166.00 $63,984.85 Hit Aug 10, 2026
XAU/USD
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,065.91 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Reopens on Paper, Gold Adds $114 — Somebody...
≤ $4,065.91 — expired Miss Aug 10, 2026
META
Absorption read fails if META closes below the $520.26 52-week low within 10 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%....
≤ $520.26 — expired Miss Aug 10, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL/USD closes above $77.00 within five sessions if high-beta continues leading the complex
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi...
≥ $77.0000 $76.2900 Hit Aug 9, 2026
JPM
A close above the $363.00 52-week high within 5 sessions voids the rejection read
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≥ $363.00 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
META
Thesis fails if Meta closes below $556.71 within 5 sessions, erasing the entire policy repricing
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma...
≤ $556.71 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
AMZN
Amazon closes above its 52-week high of $287.16 within 5 sessions, confirming the duration bid
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma...
≥ $287.16 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
AAPL
A close below $300 within 5 sessions confirms Apple is being distributed while the complex rallies
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur...
≤ $300.00 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
MSFT
A close below the session low of $475.00 within 5 sessions means the duration bid failed and the thesis is void
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur...
≤ $475.00 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
AMZN
A close above the 52-week high of $287.16 within 5 sessions confirms the platform breakout is genuine
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur...
≥ $287.16 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
META
Meta closes below its 52-week low of $520.26 within 10 sessions as the capex-credibility spread widens
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation...
≤ $520.26 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
MSFT
The thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its opening print of $438.41 within 10 sessions, marking the advance as a squeeze
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation...
≤ $438.41 — expired Miss Aug 9, 2026
NVDA
The gap-down reversal read is void if NVDA closes below $196.92 within 5 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≤ $196.92 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AMZN
Amazon breakout confirmed on a close above the $287.18 52-week high within 5 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≥ $287.18 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AAPL
A close below the session low of $300.00 within 5 sessions confirms the gap was an earnings-expectation reset rather than forced selling
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≤ $300.00 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
JPM
A close below $340.00 within 10 sessions confirms risk aversion is overriding the curve-steepening benefit for banks
The Fed Held and the Long End Tightened Anyway — M...
≤ $340.00 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its session high of $496.61 within ten sessions as the gap-down reversal extends
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th...
≥ $496.61 $483.27 Hit Aug 7, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft clears its $501.54 session high and closes above $505.00 within five sessions, confirming the funded-scale bid
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th...
≥ $505.00 $499.85 Hit Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
A close above $222.22 within 3 sessions confirms NVIDIA retains accelerator leadership as AMD's drawdown widens.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev...
≥ $222.22 $223.89 Hit Aug 7, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago