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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
TSLA
A close below the 52-week low of $297.82 within 10 sessions would confirm the inflation-tariff framework continues to structurally compress the bear case and invalidate any near-term floor thesis.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi...
≤ $297.82 $298.44 Hit Jul 29, 2026
GOOGL
A recovery above $342.09 — Thursday's pre-earnings close — within 10 sessions would signal the market has absorbed the Search deceleration and is re-pricing forward growth.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG...
≥ $342.09 $336.55 Hit Jul 29, 2026
GOOGL
A close below $314.91 — Friday's session low — within 5 sessions signals the earnings-driven markdown is extending and the bearish case strengthens materially.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG...
≤ $314.91 — expired Miss Jul 29, 2026
META
Below $590.00 within 5 sessions, the pre-earnings selling in Meta extends.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest...
≤ $590.00 $593.32 Hit Jul 28, 2026
BTC/USD
A BTC close below $64,500 within 3 sessions breaks the $65,000 floor and invalidates the orderly-consolidation read
Two Exchanges Died in Three Days and Bitcoin Moved...
≤ $64,500.00 $63,902.86 Hit Jul 28, 2026
BTC/USD
A close below the $63,810 session low within three sessions invalidates the constructive read on the majors
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat...
≤ $63,810.00 $63,902.86 Hit Jul 28, 2026
XAU/USD
Selloff treated as an over-reaction if XAU/USD closes above $4,141.06 within 5 sessions, restoring the crude-oil inflation narrative
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the...
≥ $4,141.06 — expired Miss Jul 28, 2026
XAU/USD
Gold thesis breaks down if XAU/USD closes below $4,000.00 within 5 sessions — confirming the jobless claims print cracked the inflation-hedge premium
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the...
≤ $4,000.00 — expired Miss Jul 28, 2026
JPM
A close above $354.98 within 5 sessions breaks the 52-week high and extends the bid toward near-duration cash-flow names.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≥ $354.98 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
MSFT
A close above the session high of $389.03 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's failed gap-up was pre-earnings positioning rather than distribution.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≥ $389.03 $389.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
V
Visa closes above $358.00 within 10 sessions as ad-valorem pricing leadership persists
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≥ $358.00 $362.24 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $518.00 within 5 sessions as the capital-intensity de-rating extends
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes above $324.18 within 10 sessions, confirming the re-rating of discounted pricing-power assets
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest...
≥ $324.18 $326.34 Hit Jul 27, 2026
MSFT
Thesis reverses if MSFT reclaims $389.03 within 10 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $389.03 $389.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
JPM breakout confirmed on a close above $355 within 5 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
A close below the session low of $306.51 within 3 sessions opens the 52-week low of $297.82 as the next reference point
Musk Drops $130 Billion in a Week — and Tesla Sits...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
A close below $518.00 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's gap-up reversal was distribution
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $334.99 within 10 sessions extends the cash-conversion leadership
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
A close above $355.00 within 10 sessions confirms capital-light leadership is broadening beyond Apple
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
Post-earnings breakdown extends below $306.51 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago