AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V |
Thesis fails if Visa closes below $355.00 within ten sessions, indicating the market is pricing a genuine contraction in transaction volumes
Payrolls Shed 23,000 Jobs and Visa Fell 2.13% — Th... |
≤ $355.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes above its session high of $368.57 within ten sessions, confirming Friday's decline was rotation into duration rather than a consumer-spending signal
Payrolls Shed 23,000 Jobs and Visa Fell 2.13% — Th... |
≥ $368.57 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| JPM |
The rejected 52-week high is confirmed on a JPM close below $361.29 within 3 sessions
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≤ $361.29 | — expired | Miss | Aug 16, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below $215 within five sessions as the energy-cost tax on the compute layer persists
Hormuz Sent Crude 5% Higher and NVIDIA Fell 2.84%... |
≤ $215.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 16, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $575.00 within 3 sessions, extending the break from the $604.14 high
Home Depot's CEO Steps Out and the Bid Vanishes —... |
≤ $575.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 15, 2026 |
| META |
A META close above $600.00 within 5 sessions ends the downside case entirely
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≥ $600.00 | $589.76 | Hit | Aug 14, 2026 |
| NZD/USD |
Thesis fails if NZD/USD closes above 0.5880 within 5 sessions, showing commodity FX captured the Fed relief
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And... |
≥ $0.5880 | $0.5891 | Hit | Aug 14, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below $4,300 within 5 sessions, returning the metal to its prior consolidation
Wednesday Stacks the IEA and OPEC Balance Sheets o... |
≤ $4,300.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 14, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA confirms the disinflation bid on a close above $230.00 within 5 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≥ $230.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 14, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes below $358.00 within five sessions as near-high positioning is reduced into escalation risk
War-Risk Inflation Meets a Payments Name Priced 3%... |
≤ $358.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 14, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Breakout was a one-day CPI artifact if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,363.38 within 5 sessions
Talks Deadlocked, Brent Held $80, and Gold Cleared... |
≤ $4,363.38 | $4,349.26 | Hit | Aug 13, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes above $366.00 within 10 sessions as the disinflation bid extends
CPI Landed In Line — But Alphabet Had Already Give... |
≥ $366.00 | $363.11 | Hit | Aug 13, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below $4,356.49 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Has Become a Condition, Not an Event — and... |
≤ $4,356.49 | $4,349.26 | Hit | Aug 13, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Hormuz premium is fully absent from gold if XAU/USD closes below $4,300 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Stays Shut, Crude Bids, Gold Slips — Somebo... |
≤ $4,300.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes above $66,000 within five sessions, confirming the ETF bid is absorbing thin spot books
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi... |
≥ $66,000.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closing below $358.00 within 5 sessions signals the re-rating is narrow, not broad
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≤ $358.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA confirms accelerator leadership with a close above $228.00 within 5 sessions
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≥ $228.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 13, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid compounding if XAU/USD closes above $4,434.79 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Has Become a Condition, Not an Event — and... |
≥ $4,434.79 | $4,408.04 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below its session low of $592.05 within five sessions, confirming the failed gap-up
Hormuz Sent Crude 5% Higher and NVIDIA Fell 2.84%... |
≤ $592.05 | $578.88 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes below the $360.00 round number within 5 sessions as fuel costs pressure the consumer read
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≤ $360.00 | $359.48 | Hit | Aug 12, 2026 |