AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails and the move reads as a one-day insurance purchase if XAU/USD closes below $4,240.82 within 5 sessions
Houthis Hit Saudi Arabia, Brent Clears $83 — and G... |
≤ $4,240.82 | — expired | Miss | Aug 12, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close above $236.54 within 20 sessions confirms semiconductor infrastructure is decoupling from the broader AI de-rating
Alphabet and Tesla Earnings Crack the AI Consensus... |
≥ $236.54 | — expired | Miss | Aug 12, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid returns to gold if XAU/USD closes above $4,361.48 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Stays Shut, Crude Bids, Gold Slips — Somebo... |
≥ $4,361.48 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes above the $333.71 Friday high within 5 sessions on the crude-bid tailwind
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≥ $333.71 | $332.81 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the $220.69 Friday low within 3 sessions confirms the high-beta bid was payrolls noise
Hormuz Stalemate Puts Oil Into CPI Week — NVDA's $... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.46 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical risk premium confirmed if XAU/USD closes above $4,400 within 5 sessions, absorbing the CPI print
Wednesday Stacks the IEA and OPEC Balance Sheets o... |
≥ $4,400.00 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet's fade extends on a close below the $350.00 round number within 5 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $350.00 | $343.77 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| TSLA |
High-beta leadership confirms on a TSLA close above $333.71 within 5 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≥ $333.71 | $332.81 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Gulf risk premium is being capitalized rather than rented if XAU/USD closes above $4,400 within 5 sessions
Houthis Hit Saudi Arabia, Brent Clears $83 — and G... |
≥ $4,400.00 | $4,367.63 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its session low of $488.54 within five sessions, signaling a broad software de-rating
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th... |
≤ $488.54 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below $484.00 within 5 sessions would show the megacap software multiple is finally compressing.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev... |
≤ $484.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes above its 52-week high of $363.00 within ten sessions, confirming the de-escalation is a discount-rate event with cyclical breadth behind it
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42... |
≥ $363.00 | $362.02 | Hit | Aug 11, 2026 |
| EUR/USD |
EUR/USD closes below 1.1450 within 10 sessions as the hawkish Fed dissent keeps the front-end differential intact
The RBI Chose Plumbing Over Policy: $40.8 Billion... |
≤ $1.1450 | — expired | Miss | Aug 11, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD's gap-up is fully erased on a close below $476.15 within 5 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
The high-beta bid was payrolls noise if NVDA closes below $220.69 within 3 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.59 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close below $63,900 within five sessions means the $754M inflow week was an isolated event, not a trend
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi... |
≤ $63,900.00 | $63,984.85 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below the $476.15 session low within 10 sessions confirms the de-rating extends
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
The AMD-versus-NVDA divergence extends on a close below $476.15 within 5 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
The soft-payrolls bid is invalidated if NVDA closes below $220.69 within 3 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.59 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below its session low of $476.15 within five sessions as the gap-up reversal extends
Payrolls Shed 23,000 Jobs and Visa Fell 2.13% — Th... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |