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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
AMZN
Amazon closes above $255.13 within 5 sessions, extending the two-day recovery off the base
Nykredit's Q2 Sweep Hit 14 Names and Skipped Megac...
≥ $255.13 $255.27 Hit Sep 21, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its $552.86 session high within 5 sessions, confirming the 90-day-high breakout
Nykredit's Q2 Sweep Hit 14 Names and Skipped Megac...
≥ $552.86 $610.97 Hit Sep 21, 2026
META
Meta confirms the high-priced leadership read with a close above $678.99 within 10 sessions
Splits Divide the Price, Not the Business — and Fr...
≥ $678.99 $713.18 Hit Sep 21, 2026
AMZN
Laggard rotation confirmed if Amazon closes above its $255.41 session high within ten sessions
The Discount Rate Taxed Momentum First: Meta, Tesl...
≥ $255.41 $255.27 Hit Sep 21, 2026
META
Thesis fails if Meta closes above its $678.99 90-day high within seven sessions
The Discount Rate Taxed Momentum First: Meta, Tesl...
≥ $678.99 $713.18 Hit Sep 21, 2026
META
Thesis fails if Meta closes above $678.99 within 5 sessions
Insider Sale Filings Stack Up as Five of Seven Gap...
≥ $678.99 $713.18 Hit Sep 21, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the $552.86 session high within 10 sessions as data center capex flow concentrates
Insider Sale Filings Stack Up as Five of Seven Gap...
≥ $552.86 $610.97 Hit Sep 21, 2026
AMZN
AMZN closes above its $255.41 session high within 5 sessions, extending the laggard recovery
BOJ Is Now the Bigger Threat Than the Fed — Megaca...
≥ $255.41 $255.27 Hit Sep 21, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the widely watched $550 level within 10 sessions, extending merchant-compute leadership
Ten Gap-Ups, Three Real Buyers: AMD's 6.11% Was th...
≥ $550.00 $610.97 Hit Sep 21, 2026
GOOGL
Thesis fails if Alphabet closes below $332.60 within ten sessions, marking Friday as a one-day squeeze
Core CPI Ran Hot and the Longest-Duration Assets L...
≤ $332.60 — expired Miss Sep 21, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
The Fed Hiked for the First Time Since 2023 and Bi...
≤ $76,055.34 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below the widely watched $340.00 round number within 5 sessions as the 90-day-low break extends
Yields Hit Fresh Highs and the Board Split — META...
≤ $340.00 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
META
Call fails if Meta closes below the $656.47 session low within 5 sessions
Yields Hit Fresh Highs and the Board Split — META...
≤ $656.47 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
NVDA
A close below the session low of $208.94 within 5 sessions extends the discount-rate compression in AI silicon
Two More Hikes Priced In: AMD's $30.64 Gap Was Nea...
≤ $208.94 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
XAU/USD
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes above $4,400 within 8 sessions, showing private physical demand absorbing the official-sector gap
India Raised $44.9 Billion in a Week Without Touch...
≥ $4,400.00 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
EUR/USD
Euro leadership confirmed if EUR/USD closes above the 90-day high of 1.1684 within 15 sessions
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar...
≥ $1.1684 — expired Miss Sep 20, 2026
XAU/USD
Dollar-led unwind extends if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,253.79 within 5 sessions
The Dollar Did the Selling in Gold. The Mines Didn...
≤ $4,253.79 — expired Miss Sep 19, 2026
GOOGL
A close below $335.05 within 5 sessions fills Friday's gap and extends the fade to the platforms
Friday's Megacap Sweep Was 62% Gap. Central-Bank W...
≤ $335.05 — expired Miss Sep 19, 2026
META
Thesis fails if Meta closes below the $638.71 session low within 10 sessions
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≤ $638.71 — expired Miss Sep 19, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
The Fed Hiked for the First Time Since 2023 and Bi...
≥ $2,534.03 $2,618.31 Hit Sep 18, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
JPM
63% (59)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 8 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 8 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 8 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 22 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago