AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD |
A daily close below $63,000 within three sessions turns Friday's fade into a breakdown and confirms the real-yield read
$40 Million Walked Out of Coldcard. Bitcoin's Prob... |
≤ $63,000.00 | $62,619.50 | Hit | Aug 1, 2026 |
| AMD |
$500 comes into play on a close above $498.20 within 5 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%.... |
≥ $498.20 | $476.15 | Hit | Aug 1, 2026 |
| FOMC |
No move of 50bp or larger is delivered at this meeting; any such move would trigger a broad enterprise software multiple compression within 3 days
A Fed Hike Would Reprice SaaS Before It Touches Se... |
≤ $0.5000 | — expired | Miss | Aug 1, 2026 |
| FOMC |
The Fed holds rather than delivering a 25bp hike Wednesday, sparing SaaS multiples an immediate duration reset within 3 days
A Fed Hike Would Reprice SaaS Before It Touches Se... |
≤ $0.2500 | — expired | Miss | Aug 1, 2026 |
| META |
A close above $609.98 within 5 sessions invalidates the defensive pre-earnings read on Meta.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest... |
≥ $609.98 | — expired | Miss | Aug 1, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close above the 52-week high of $584.73 within 10 sessions confirms the data-center revision cycle has shifted from recovery to breakout.
AMD Gaps 4.4%, Surges 8.1% — Earnings Season Has a... |
≥ $584.73 | — expired | Miss | Aug 1, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above its session high of $458.68 within 10 sessions as the earnings-quality premium extends
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation... |
≥ $458.68 | $464.77 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| AMD |
Bearish semi view invalidated if AMD closes above $457.22 within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —... |
≥ $457.22 | $476.05 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close below the $63,603.92 session low within three sessions invalidates the relief-rally read
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid... |
≤ $63,603.92 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A BTC close above $65,150 within three sessions confirms the Fed-hold bid is real buying rather than a reflex
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid... |
≥ $65,150.00 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH closes below $1,884.51 within five sessions as the majors lag bitcoin
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≤ $1,884.51 | $1,868.41 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC closes below $63,598 within three sessions, confirming the pre-FOMC bid was positioning rather than conviction
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≤ $63,598.00 | $63,005.52 | Hit | Jul 31, 2026 |
| TSLA |
A close above the session high of $322.96 within 5 sessions would invalidate the view that Tesla is trading as a correlated Musk-complex exposure
Musk Drops $130 Billion in a Week — and Tesla Sits... |
≥ $322.96 | — expired | Miss | Jul 31, 2026 |
| AVAX/USD |
AVAX closing back below $6.304 within five sessions marks the 6.2% advance as a one-day artifact
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat... |
≤ $6.3040 | — expired | Miss | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close above $65,000 within three sessions invalidates the hawkish-risk read and confirms bitcoin is trading independently of the rate path
Citadel Is Betting on a Hike and Bitcoin Rallied I... |
≥ $65,000.00 | $64,794.05 | Hit | Jul 30, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Above $234.95 within 5 sessions, buyers reclaim control of Amazon into and after Thursday's report.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest... |
≥ $234.95 | $235.53 | Hit | Jul 30, 2026 |
| V |
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $371.14 52-week high within 5 sessions
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≥ $371.14 | $369.00 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Containment thesis fails on a close below $192.74 within 5 sessions
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≤ $192.74 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below $442.35 within 3 sessions says the Seoul chip selling has legs beyond one name
Seoul Tripped a Circuit Breaker. AMD Lost 8.13%. N... |
≤ $442.35 | $429.16 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis invalidated if JPMorgan closes below $352.58 within 5 sessions, signaling a correlated liquidity event rather than rotation
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≤ $352.58 | $345.02 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |