AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPM |
JPM closes below $352.00 within 5 sessions as the gap fade extends
Nasdaq Put $100 Million Into Kraken's Parent — and... |
≤ $352.00 | $351.60 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
GOOGL closes above $345.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the laggard rotation
Nasdaq Put $100 Million Into Kraken's Parent — and... |
≥ $345.00 | $345.97 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 154.80 within 10 sessions, restoring the August range chop
India Bought $44.9 Billion of Dollars and the Doll... |
≥ $154.80 | $154.43 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Compression resolves lower: XAU/USD closes below $4,320 within 8 sessions
India Raised $44.9 Billion in a Week Without Touch... |
≤ $4,320.00 | $4,289.04 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Friday's rally was mechanical and the risk premium stays in energy if XAU/USD closes below $4,297.93 within 5 sessions
Crude's Transit Tax Landed in Mumbai, Not in Gold... |
≤ $4,297.93 | $4,289.04 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Apple closes above $325.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the reversal and killing our prior downside call
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot... |
≥ $325.00 | $332.89 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below $215.00 within 5 sessions, extending the red streak
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot... |
≤ $215.00 | $211.13 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close above $325.00 within 5 sessions marks Thursday's 2.14% gain as durable rather than a single-session bid
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London... |
≥ $325.00 | $332.89 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the widely watched $215.00 round number within 5 sessions extends the discount-rate compression in AI silicon
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London... |
≤ $215.00 | $211.13 | Hit | Sep 14, 2026 |
| JPM |
A fifth consecutive red close below the $351.12 session low within 3 sessions confirms the rate-hike margin tailwind is not being capitalized in bank shares
A Rate-Hike Bank Trade Is Being Marketed in London... |
≤ $351.12 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes below $365.00 within 5 sessions if the travel-sentiment read-through extends
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T... |
≤ $365.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 5 sessions as the semis bid extends
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T... |
≥ $525.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes back above the 156.29 session high within seven sessions
The Yen Broke Its 90-Day Floor With Wall Street Cl... |
≥ $156.29 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close above the 90-day high of $513.87 within 10 sessions reverses the de-rating view
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G... |
≥ $513.87 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $513.87 within ten sessions, confirming platform leadership over merchant compute
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≥ $513.87 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Nvidia closes above the $236.54 52-week high within 10 sessions
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of... |
≥ $236.54 | — expired | Miss | Sep 14, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 155.00 within five sessions
Rising Yields, a Falling Dollar: Japan's 4.7% Wage... |
≥ $155.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Funding-side thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 152.91 within five sessions
Rising Yields, a Falling Dollar: Japan's 4.7% Wage... |
≤ $152.91 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its $458.00 session low within 5 sessions
The AI Rotation Call Meets a Board Where NVDA and... |
≤ $458.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $440.51 within ten sessions, confirming idiosyncratic de-rating rather than macro sensitivity
Waller Killed the Hike Trade and Nine of Ten Megac... |
≤ $440.51 | — expired | Miss | Sep 13, 2026 |