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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
AMD
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions reverses the view on gap-dependence
Friday's Megacap Sweep Was 62% Gap. Central-Bank W...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
XAU/USD
Geopolitical bid re-enters bullion if XAU/USD closes above the session high of $4,403.80 within 5 sessions
Crude's Transit Tax Landed in Mumbai, Not in Gold...
≥ $4,403.80 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
V
Visa closes below $360.00 within 5 sessions as payments stay offered into the September 15 cloture vote
A Dated Binary Lands Tuesday: The CLARITY Act Clot...
≤ $360.00 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
NVDA
Thesis fails if NVDA closes above $232 within 7 sessions
The Data Center Backlash Is an Enterprise Budget S...
≥ $232.00 — expired Miss Sep 16, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions on inference-driven demand
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
META
Meta closes above $680 within 15 sessions, confirming the agent-launch re-rating
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≥ $680.00 $678.99 Hit Sep 16, 2026
AMD
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions extends the momentum case
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —...
≥ $525.00 $521.58 Hit Sep 16, 2026
ETH/USD
Thesis fails if ETH closes below the $2,464.71 session low within 10 sessions
Every Major Closed Green, But Four Are Still Down...
≤ $2,464.71 $2,400.24 Hit Sep 15, 2026
NVDA
A close below the $219.04 session low within 3 sessions confirms the gap-fade read in AI silicon
Friday's Megacap Sweep Was 62% Gap. Central-Bank W...
≤ $219.04 $212.21 Hit Sep 15, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes below the widely watched $325.00 level within 5 sessions as the distribution extends
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $325.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes below the widely watched $310.00 round number within 5 sessions after the BofA target cut
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $310.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the $525.00 90-day high within 5 sessions, extending the semis bid
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
META
Leadership call fails if Meta closes below the $638.71 session low within 5 sessions
Meta Gapped 5.69% and Closed at $656.75 — A 90-Day...
≤ $638.71 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
EUR/GBP
Thesis fails if EUR/GBP closes below its 90-day low of 0.8541 within 10 sessions
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar...
≤ $0.8541 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
GBP/USD
Sterling weakness confirms if GBP/USD closes below 1.3400 within 10 sessions
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar...
≤ $1.3400 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above its 90-day high of $81,292.01 within 10 sessions as ETF inflows absorb treasury-company supply
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr...
≥ $81,292.01 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
AUD/USD
Commodity-bloc confirmation if AUD/USD trades above 0.7280 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to...
≥ $0.7280 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
USD/JPY
Thesis fails if USD/JPY closes above 157.20 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to...
≥ $157.20 — expired Miss Sep 15, 2026
JPM
A JPMorgan close below $345.02 within 20 sessions would reframe this as a growth scare rather than a rate repricing
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $...
≤ $345.02 $345.13 Hit Sep 15, 2026
JPM
JPM closes below $353.56 within 5 sessions, fully unwinding the gap as the hawkish repricing fails to hold the bank bid
Ten of Ten Closed Green — But Half of Them Faded O...
≤ $353.56 $351.60 Hit Sep 14, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 9 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 9 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 9 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 23 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 2 days ago