AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below its session low of $195.44 within 5 sessions as the semiconductor de-rating extends
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≤ $195.44 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes above its 52-week high of $365.14 within 10 sessions, confirming capital-light pricing power remains market leadership
The Options Market Is Pricing 6.1% on Caterpillar... |
≥ $365.14 | $369.00 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close above the 52-week high of $339.57 within 5 sessions confirms rotation into near-duration cash-flow names
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≥ $339.57 | $338.40 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below the session low of $476.93 within 5 sessions confirms the repricing of AI capex exposure
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≤ $476.93 | $429.16 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the July 28 session low of $195.44 within 5 sessions confirms AI semiconductor de-risking has further to run
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≤ $195.44 | $190.31 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| EUR/USD |
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes above 1.1450 within 10 sessions on a dovish Fed outcome
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First... |
≥ $1.1450 | $1.1462 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| JPM |
Rotation thesis fails if JPM closes below $347.50 within 5 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'... |
≤ $347.50 | $345.02 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| TSLA |
A close below the 52-week low of $297.82 within 10 sessions would confirm the inflation-tariff framework continues to structurally compress the bear case and invalidate any near-term floor thesis.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi... |
≤ $297.82 | $298.44 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
A recovery above $342.09 — Thursday's pre-earnings close — within 10 sessions would signal the market has absorbed the Search deceleration and is re-pricing forward growth.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG... |
≥ $342.09 | $336.55 | Hit | Jul 29, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
A close below $314.91 — Friday's session low — within 5 sessions signals the earnings-driven markdown is extending and the bearish case strengthens materially.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG... |
≤ $314.91 | — expired | Miss | Jul 29, 2026 |
| META |
Below $590.00 within 5 sessions, the pre-earnings selling in Meta extends.
Meta Closed at $595.19 Into Q2 Earnings — Weakest... |
≤ $590.00 | $593.32 | Hit | Jul 28, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A BTC close below $64,500 within 3 sessions breaks the $65,000 floor and invalidates the orderly-consolidation read
Two Exchanges Died in Three Days and Bitcoin Moved... |
≤ $64,500.00 | $63,902.86 | Hit | Jul 28, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close below the $63,810 session low within three sessions invalidates the constructive read on the majors
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat... |
≤ $63,810.00 | $63,902.86 | Hit | Jul 28, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Selloff treated as an over-reaction if XAU/USD closes above $4,141.06 within 5 sessions, restoring the crude-oil inflation narrative
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the... |
≥ $4,141.06 | — expired | Miss | Jul 28, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Gold thesis breaks down if XAU/USD closes below $4,000.00 within 5 sessions — confirming the jobless claims print cracked the inflation-hedge premium
Gold Drops .03 as Weekly Jobless Claims Crush the... |
≤ $4,000.00 | — expired | Miss | Jul 28, 2026 |
| JPM |
A close above $354.98 within 5 sessions breaks the 52-week high and extends the bid toward near-duration cash-flow names.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38... |
≥ $354.98 | $356.16 | Hit | Jul 27, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close above the session high of $389.03 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's failed gap-up was pre-earnings positioning rather than distribution.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38... |
≥ $389.03 | $389.00 | Hit | Jul 27, 2026 |
| V |
Visa closes above $358.00 within 10 sessions as ad-valorem pricing leadership persists
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest... |
≥ $358.00 | $362.24 | Hit | Jul 27, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $518.00 within 5 sessions as the capital-intensity de-rating extends
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest... |
≤ $518.00 | $494.96 | Hit | Jul 27, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet closes above $324.18 within 10 sessions, confirming the re-rating of discounted pricing-power assets
Coca-Cola's Pricing Question Is the Market's Quest... |
≥ $324.18 | $326.34 | Hit | Jul 27, 2026 |