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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
XEL
Thesis fails if Xcel closes below $73.50 within 20 sessions
The AI Buildout's Marginal Dollar Is Moving Out of...
≤ $73.5000 — expired Miss Sep 27, 2026
XEL
Power leg repricing confirmed if Xcel closes above $78.00 within 20 sessions
The AI Buildout's Marginal Dollar Is Moving Out of...
≥ $78.0000 — expired Miss Sep 27, 2026
META
Momentum unwind confirmed if Meta closes below its $668.67 session low within seven sessions
The Discount Rate Taxed Momentum First: Meta, Tesl...
≤ $668.67 — expired Miss Sep 26, 2026
JPM
A JPMorgan close above its 52-week high of $366.50 within fifteen sessions reverses the view and validates a rate-led rotation
Core CPI Ran Hot and the Longest-Duration Assets L...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Sep 26, 2026
XRP/USD
Consensus cross-border read validated if XRP closes above its 90-day high of $1.5779 within 20 sessions
Exporting Dollar Stablecoins Is a Rail Decision: B...
≥ $1.5779 $1.5711 Hit Sep 25, 2026
V
Visa closes above its $366.21 session high within 15 sessions as settlement infrastructure re-rates
Washington's Stablecoin Push Is a Bank Funding Sto...
≥ $366.21 $366.15 Hit Sep 25, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $625.00 within 10 sessions as semi leadership holds
JPMorgan Snapped 4.09% to a Fresh 90-Day Low While...
≥ $625.00 $631.06 Hit Sep 25, 2026
MSFT
A close above the 90-day high of $513.87 within 15 sessions validates the re-engagement from below
Two More Hikes Priced In: AMD's $30.64 Gap Was Nea...
≥ $513.87 $514.85 Hit Sep 25, 2026
AMD
A close below the $480.46 session low within 10 sessions confirms the de-rating has further to run
Two More Hikes Priced In: AMD's $30.64 Gap Was Nea...
≤ $480.46 — expired Miss Sep 25, 2026
XAU/USD
The disinflation read extends if gold closes below $4,250.00 within five sessions
More Gas, Less Capex, and a Third Red Day in Gold...
≤ $4,250.00 $4,259.61 Hit Sep 24, 2026
META
Meta confirms leadership extension with a close above its session high of $757.14 within 5 sessions
JPMorgan Drops $14.40 in One Session to a 90-Day L...
≥ $757.14 $766.41 Hit Sep 24, 2026
EUR/USD
Dollar-firming regime confirmed if EUR/USD closes below 1.1374 within 10 sessions, putting the 90-day low of 1.1368 in play
Central Banks Turned Hawkish Together, and the Dol...
≤ $1.1374 $1.1374 Hit Sep 24, 2026
USD/CAD
Dollar grind confirmed if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 10 sessions
Nothing Moved, Everything Drifted: The Dollar's Qu...
≥ $1.4126 $1.4141 Hit Sep 24, 2026
NZD/USD
Kiwi breakdown confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5660 within 10 sessions
The BOJ Hiked, the Yen Fell to 158.02, and Then To...
≤ $0.5660 $0.5657 Hit Sep 24, 2026
USD/CAD
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Yields Near 5%, a Fed Decision Pending, and Eight...
≥ $1.4126 $1.4141 Hit Sep 24, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet closes below its 90-day low of $319.74 within 15 sessions as share-shift is priced
Meta Adds $43.27 While Alphabet Slides — 975 Basis...
≤ $319.74 — expired Miss Sep 24, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below its 90-day low of $429.16 within 20 sessions, marking the second-source compute de-rating as structural
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's...
≤ $429.16 — expired Miss Sep 24, 2026
GBP/USD
Corroborating break if GBP/USD closes below 1.3258 within 10 sessions
Central Banks Turned Hawkish Together, and the Dol...
≤ $1.3258 $1.3255 Hit Sep 23, 2026
AVAX/USD
Leverage unwind deepens if AVAX closes below $10.52 within 5 sessions
Crypto Reclaims $3 Trillion, and Europe Quietly St...
≤ $10.5200 $10.3350 Hit Sep 23, 2026
ETH/USD
Thesis fails if ETH closes below Tuesday's low of $2,715.91 within 5 sessions
Crypto Reclaims $3 Trillion, and Europe Quietly St...
≤ $2,715.91 $2,690.38 Hit Sep 23, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 7 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 7 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 7 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 21 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago