Trade-Advise
Dark mode
Trade-Advise
Sign Up
Light
Home › Track Record

AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
45
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
MSFT
Thesis reverses if MSFT reclaims $389.03 within 10 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $389.03 $389.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
JPM breakout confirmed on a close above $355 within 5 sessions
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street'...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
A close below the session low of $306.51 within 3 sessions opens the 52-week low of $297.82 as the next reference point
Musk Drops $130 Billion in a Week — and Tesla Sits...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
A close below $518.00 within 5 sessions confirms Friday's gap-up reversal was distribution
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $334.99 within 10 sessions extends the cash-conversion leadership
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
JPM
A close above $355.00 within 10 sessions confirms capital-light leadership is broadening beyond Apple
The Earnings Cycle Is Rewarding Cash Conversion: A...
≥ $355.00 $356.16 Hit Jul 27, 2026
TSLA
Post-earnings breakdown extends below $306.51 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $306.51 $309.00 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AMD
Long-side case invalidated on a close below $518.00 within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≤ $518.00 $494.96 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $334.99 52-week high within 5 sessions
Earnings Season Is Sorting the Mag 7 — AAPL $334.9...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
BTC/USD
Bitcoin closes above $65,000 within three sessions, confirming the rotation is supported by the benchmark
Kenya Just Handed Crypto to Its Securities Regulat...
≥ $65,000.00 $65,015.24 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above the 52-week high of $334.99 within 5 sessions confirms the Friday re-rating is genuine; failure to breach it signals the move was positional rather than fundamental.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
AAPL
A close above $334.99 within 5 sessions confirms a 52-week high breakout; below $321.62, the Friday gap-up is an isolated event with no follow-through.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $334.99 $336.93 Hit Jul 27, 2026
XAU/USD
Momentum case weakens and $4,000 psychological floor comes into play if XAU/USD closes below $4,022.09 within 5 sessions
Ghana's Cocoa Pivot and a $42 Gold Range That Said...
≤ $4,022.09 $4,078.38 Hit Jul 27, 2026
XAU/USD
Gold consolidation resolves higher if XAU/USD closes above $4,100 within 5 sessions; geopolitical bid reasserting itself
Ghana's Cocoa Pivot and a $42 Gold Range That Said...
≥ $4,100.00 $4,078.38 Hit Jul 27, 2026
BTC/USD
A daily close above $67,000 within 5 sessions confirms ETF inflows are large enough to break the ceiling and validates the post-SEC-dismissal rally case
SEC Drops Coinbase Case — And the Chain Barely Bli...
≥ $67,000.00 — expired Miss Jul 27, 2026
NVDA
A sustained close below the session low of $204.81 within 5 sessions would indicate the gap-down open was not absorbed and AI semiconductor de-risking has further to run.
Inflation's Double Hit: What JPM at an All-Time Hi...
≤ $204.81 $206.84 Hit Jul 26, 2026
NVDA
Above $211.91, momentum buyers re-engage; below $204.81, psychological support at $200 is the next test within 3 sessions.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $211.91 $206.84 Hit Jul 26, 2026
JPM
A close above $353.37 within 5 sessions marks a 52-week high and confirms the financials divergence from tech.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $353.37 $353.21 Hit Jul 26, 2026
AMD
Below $518.00, AMD's session low, the reversal accelerates with no data-anchored support until deeper levels.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≤ $518.00 $521.95 Hit Jul 26, 2026
AMD
Bulls need $549.00 reclaimed within 5 sessions or Friday's reversal defines the near-term ceiling.
AAPL Within Touch of 52-Week High — AMD's $25 Fade...
≥ $549.00 $521.95 Hit Jul 26, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
MSFT
41% (22)
META
64% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 15 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 15 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes back at its 90-day low of 1.3767 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.3767 · 1 day ago
USD/JPY Pending
Carry-trade signal breaks if USD/JPY closes below its 90-day low of 153.53 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $153.53 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Call fails if Meta closes below the $656.47 session low within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $656.47 · 2 days ago