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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
ETH/USD
Rotation thesis confirmed if ETH closes above its 90-day closing high of $2,775.96 within 10 sessions
Crypto Reclaims $3 Trillion, and Europe Quietly St...
≥ $2,775.96 $2,755.52 Hit Sep 23, 2026
BTC/USD
The $3 trillion reclaim is durable if BTC closes above its 90-day closing high of $86,352.01 within 10 sessions
Crypto Reclaims $3 Trillion, and Europe Quietly St...
≥ $86,352.01 $86,500.00 Hit Sep 23, 2026
NZD/USD
Periphery break confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5690 within 10 sessions
Nothing Moved, Everything Drifted: The Dollar's Qu...
≤ $0.5690 $0.5672 Hit Sep 23, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below the widely watched $490.00 round number within 3 sessions as the megacap gap-fade extends
Nykredit's Q2 Sweep Hit 14 Names and Skipped Megac...
≤ $490.00 — expired Miss Sep 23, 2026
USD/JPY
Yen slide confirmed if USD/JPY closes above 158.024 within 10 sessions
The BOJ Hiked, the Yen Fell to 158.02, and Then To...
≥ $158.02 $158.31 Hit Sep 23, 2026
GOOGL
GOOGL closes below $347.33 within 5 sessions, ending the three-session green streak after the failed gap-up
BOJ Is Now the Bigger Threat Than the Fed — Megaca...
≤ $347.33 — expired Miss Sep 23, 2026
META
META closes below its $668.67 session low within 5 sessions as BOJ tightening pressures long-duration multiples
BOJ Is Now the Bigger Threat Than the Fed — Megaca...
≤ $668.67 — expired Miss Sep 23, 2026
AAPL
Thesis fails if AAPL closes below $325.00 within 10 sessions
Apple's Foldable Is a Packaging Problem, and TSMC...
≤ $325.00 — expired Miss Sep 23, 2026
GOOGL
Thesis fails if Alphabet closes below its $335.05 session low within 10 sessions
Apple's Foldable Bid Left It $8.75 From a Record....
≤ $335.05 — expired Miss Sep 23, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above $225.00 within 15 sessions, a recalibration from the earlier 52-week-high call that missed
Oil Round-Tripped, But the Cost Is Already in the...
≥ $225.00 $228.63 Hit Sep 22, 2026
JPM
Thesis is invalidated if JPMorgan closes above $350.00 within 10 sessions
Oil Round-Tripped, But the Cost Is Already in the...
≥ $350.00 $337.64 Hit Sep 22, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $345.02 within 10 sessions, confirming that higher yields are being priced as cost of capital
Oil Round-Tripped, But the Cost Is Already in the...
≤ $345.02 $337.64 Hit Sep 22, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its $345.02 90-day low within ten sessions as yields signal term premium, not growth
The Discount Rate Taxed Momentum First: Meta, Tesl...
≤ $345.02 $337.64 Hit Sep 22, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its $345.02 90-day low within 5 sessions, confirming the distribution read
Insider Sale Filings Stack Up as Five of Seven Gap...
≤ $345.02 $337.64 Hit Sep 22, 2026
MSFT
A Microsoft close above its $501.40 session high within 10 sessions would invalidate the narrow-leadership read
Ten Gap-Ups, Three Real Buyers: AMD's 6.11% Was th...
≥ $501.40 $495.00 Hit Sep 22, 2026
JPM
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
The Fed Hiked and Semis Led Anyway: AMD's $12.87 G...
≤ $345.02 $337.64 Hit Sep 22, 2026
AAPL
Content-per-device thesis confirmed if AAPL closes above its $344.57 record within 10 sessions
Apple's Foldable Is a Packaging Problem, and TSMC...
≥ $344.57 $343.57 Hit Sep 22, 2026
AAPL
View reverses if Apple closes above its 52-week high of $344.57 within 10 sessions
Apple's Foldable Bid Left It $8.75 From a Record....
≥ $344.57 $343.57 Hit Sep 22, 2026
AAPL
AAPL closes above the $344.57 52-week high within 10 sessions
Nasdaq Put $100 Million Into Kraken's Parent — and...
≥ $344.57 — expired Miss Sep 22, 2026
USD/JPY
USD/JPY closes below 152.50 within 10 sessions as its refusal to rally on hawkish US inflation data resolves lower
India Bought $44.9 Billion of Dollars and the Doll...
≤ $152.50 — expired Miss Sep 22, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 9 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 9 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 9 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 23 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 2 days ago