AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD |
AMD's exhaustion print resolves lower with a close below $480.00 within 5 sessions
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≤ $480.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| V |
Visa confirms the rails bid with a close above $366.97 within 5 sessions
Kalshi's Reported $40 Billion Round Lands the Same... |
≥ $366.97 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| NZD/USD |
Thesis confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5800 within 5 sessions, relief confined to funding currencies
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And... |
≤ $0.5800 | — expired | Miss | Aug 18, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid is compounding on the rate-hold bid if XAU/USD closes above $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
Hormuz Is Now a Fertilizer Story, Not Just a Crude... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $260.00 within 5 sessions on the weakest close structure of the board
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red... |
≤ $260.00 | $261.33 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Gold confirms it is repricing the same geopolitical risk bidding crude if XAU/USD closes above $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
The Rhine Ran Dry and Crude Caught a Bid — Gold Mo... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $260.00 within seven sessions as oil-driven pressure on household budgets reprices consumer demand
Oil Broke Europe's Four-Week Rally — The Damage La... |
≤ $260.00 | $261.33 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $585 within five sessions as the failed-gap distribution pattern extends
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead... |
≤ $585.00 | $569.01 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Physical tightening thesis confirmed if XAU/USD closes above the 90-day high of $4,408.04 within 10 sessions
Miners Got Routed on Two Continents While the Meta... |
≥ $4,408.04 | $4,415.45 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closing above its $227.21 session high within 5 sessions keeps AI leadership intact
The Rotation Into Tech Is Real — But JPMorgan Prin... |
≥ $227.21 | $225.05 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| AUD/USD |
View reverses if AUD/USD trades above 0.7100 within 10 sessions alongside broad dollar softness
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And... |
≥ $0.7100 | $0.7104 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $575.00 within five sessions as the failed gap-up distribution extends
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O... |
≤ $575.00 | $569.01 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis fails if JPMorgan closes below its session low of $361.29 within five sessions, marking the bank bid as another inflation-relief trade
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O... |
≤ $361.29 | $361.20 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes below $489.00 within 5 sessions after failing at the $500.00 open
Home Depot's CEO Steps Out and the Bid Vanishes —... |
≤ $489.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes above $230.00 within 5 sessions as the AI silicon bid holds
Home Depot's CEO Steps Out and the Bid Vanishes —... |
≥ $230.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Hormuz premium is being built into the price if XAU/USD closes above $4,450 within 5 sessions
Talks Deadlocked, Brent Held $80, and Gold Cleared... |
≥ $4,450.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below the $216.20 session low within 5 sessions, confirming the gap-up was distributed
CPI Landed In Line — But Alphabet Had Already Give... |
≤ $216.20 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
A close above the $356.76 session high within 5 sessions voids the de-rating read
CPI Landed In Line — But Alphabet Had Already Give... |
≥ $356.76 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet closes below $340.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the de-rating extends
CPI Landed In Line — But Alphabet Had Already Give... |
≤ $340.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 17, 2026 |
| USD/CAD |
USD/CAD closes below 1.3855 within 10 sessions as the crude premium sustains the Canadian dollar's terms-of-trade advantage
Hormuz Is Repricing the Loonie, Not the Franc — an... |
≤ $1.3855 | $1.3876 | Hit | Aug 17, 2026 |