AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below $4,350 within 5 sessions, decoupling gold from the energy complex
A Record $102 Diesel Crack Is the Real Hormuz Sign... |
≤ $4,350.00 | $4,521.94 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Geopolitical bid confirmed if XAU/USD closes above the session high of $4,435.58 within 5 sessions
A Record $102 Diesel Crack Is the Real Hormuz Sign... |
≥ $4,435.58 | $4,521.94 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Apple closes above $307.66 within 5 sessions, confirming the relative-strength divergence
Hormuz Strike Keeps Crude Above $90 — and the Mega... |
≥ $307.66 | $316.90 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $564.75 within 3 sessions as the oil cost premium presses risk assets
Hormuz Strike Keeps Crude Above $90 — and the Mega... |
≤ $564.75 | $546.19 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| EUR/USD |
EUR/USD closes above 1.1626, clearing its 90-day high, within 10 sessions as the Fed hold caps the dollar
Five of Eight Majors Sit Within a Tenth of a Perce... |
≥ $1.1626 | $1.1678 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Thesis fails if Amazon closes above its session high of $265.80 within seven sessions
Oil Broke Europe's Four-Week Rally — The Damage La... |
≥ $265.80 | $265.84 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closing above the widely watched $600.00 level within 5 sessions confirms the discount is closing
The Rotation Into Tech Is Real — But JPMorgan Prin... |
≥ $600.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 19, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes below its $353.46 session low within ten sessions
War-Risk Inflation Meets a Payments Name Priced 3%... |
≤ $353.46 | — expired | Miss | Aug 19, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Delay fully absorbed if BTC closes above $66,000 within 15 sessions
The Clarity Act Slipped to September and Crypto Cl... |
≥ $66,000.00 | $69,236.85 | Hit | Aug 19, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Apple closes above $310.00 within 5 sessions on the board's only upper-half close
A Stablecoin Issuer Just Got a Bank Charter — Visa... |
≥ $310.00 | $310.23 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below $580 within ten sessions as capex-heavy platforms lose the AI premium
The ECB Says the AI Rally Will Correct. Inside the... |
≤ $580.00 | $543.83 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below $483.27 within ten sessions, signaling a broad AI de-rating rather than internal rotation
The ECB Says the AI Rally Will Correct. Inside the... |
≤ $483.27 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AUD/USD |
Thesis fails if AUD/USD closes below $0.7090 within 10 sessions
Fed Hike Bets Fade, Rupee Slips to 95.61 — And the... |
≤ $0.7090 | $0.7085 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
The Hormuz premium was never in gold if XAU/USD closes below $4,340 within 10 sessions
Hormuz Is Now a Fertilizer Story, Not Just a Crude... |
≤ $4,340.00 | $4,332.12 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below $500.00 within 5 sessions
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red... |
≤ $500.00 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails and gold treats the risk premium as fully priced if XAU/USD closes below $4,350 within 10 sessions
The Rhine Ran Dry and Crude Caught a Bid — Gold Mo... |
≤ $4,350.00 | $4,332.12 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $258.00 within 7 sessions as softening July retail sales weigh on consumer-exposed megacaps
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega... |
≤ $258.00 | $259.46 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $483.27 within 10 sessions, confirming Friday's 6.50% advance was positioning rather than a re-rating
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega... |
≤ $483.27 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| AMD |
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its session low of $483.27 within ten sessions
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead... |
≤ $483.27 | $484.45 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closing below $360.00 within 10 sessions confirms the $366.49 breakout failed
The Rotation Into Tech Is Real — But JPMorgan Prin... |
≤ $360.00 | $363.31 | Hit | Aug 18, 2026 |