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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
JPM
JPMorgan closes above the $370.00 round number within ten sessions, confirming cyclical earnings leadership over the platform layer
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the O...
≥ $370.00 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
META
A close below the 52-week low of $520.26 within 20 sessions invalidates the view that Meta is the underpriced beneficiary of lower energy input costs
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≤ $520.26 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
USDINR
A close below 95.80 within 30 days would confirm that $676 billion in reserves and RBI intervention have successfully anchored the rupee against the oil-price shock.
The Cedi Widens Its Spread and India Builds Its Wa...
≤ $95.8000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
USDINR
If USD/INR closes above 97.50 within 30 days, RBI intervention has failed to arrest the structural import-driven depreciation trend and the rupee soft-floor thesis is invalidated.
The Cedi Widens Its Spread and India Builds Its Wa...
≥ $97.5000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
NVDA
A close above $236.54 — the 52-week high — within 30 days would confirm NVDA has decoupled from the megacap earnings-driven selloff and resumed its structural uptrend.
Alphabet Earnings Crack the Megacap Complex — GOOG...
≥ $236.54 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below $475.00 within 5 sessions after the volume-confirmed 3% break
A Stablecoin Issuer Just Got a Bank Charter — Visa...
≤ $475.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
V
Visa closes below $355.00 within 5 sessions as the charter fade extends from the session low
A Stablecoin Issuer Just Got a Bank Charter — Visa...
≤ $355.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
AMD
A close above $525.00 within 7 sessions invalidates the stretched verdict and confirms a genuine second-source re-rating
Goldman's Post-Q2 Conviction List Skips Every Mega...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Aug 22, 2026
AMZN
Amazon closes below $258.34 within 5 sessions on record diesel crack costs
Hormuz Strike Keeps Crude Above $90 — and the Mega...
≤ $258.34 $258.57 Hit Aug 21, 2026
AUD/USD
Funding-relief thesis confirmed if AUD/USD trades above $0.7162 within 10 sessions
Fed Hike Bets Fade, Rupee Slips to 95.61 — And the...
≥ $0.7162 $0.7171 Hit Aug 21, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above the $366.50 52-week high within 5 sessions
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $520.00 within 5 sessions, extending the breakout from the $514.40 close
A Record S&P Close With Seven of Ten Mega-Caps Red...
≥ $520.00 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
USD/CAD
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes above 1.4025 within 10 sessions, showing a broad dollar bid has overwhelmed the commodity channel
Hormuz Is Repricing the Loonie, Not the Franc — an...
≥ $1.4025 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes above its session high of $513.72 within 10 sessions, confirming the platform-layer bid
Hormuz Sent Crude 5% Higher and NVIDIA Fell 2.84%...
≥ $513.72 — expired Miss Aug 21, 2026
USD/CAD
Broad dollar softness extends if USD/CAD trades below $1.3790 within 10 sessions
Fed Hike Bets Fade, Rupee Slips to 95.61 — And the...
≤ $1.3790 $1.3789 Hit Aug 20, 2026
USD/CAD
USD/CAD extends through its 90-day low to close below 1.3795 within 10 sessions
Five of Eight Majors Sit Within a Tenth of a Perce...
≤ $1.3795 $1.3789 Hit Aug 20, 2026
BRENT
Thesis fails if Brent closes below $80.00 within 10 sessions
Hormuz Prices Electricity, and Electricity Prices...
≤ $80.0000 — expired Miss Aug 20, 2026
BRENT
Brent closing above $88.00 within 10 sessions makes energy an explicit cloud-margin variable this quarter
Hormuz Prices Electricity, and Electricity Prices...
≥ $88.0000 — expired Miss Aug 20, 2026
AMD
A close above $518.58 within 15 sessions invalidates the stretched verdict and reframes the drop as a positioning flush
AMD Beat and Still Lost $36.83 a Share — 93% of It...
≥ $518.58 — expired Miss Aug 20, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL/USD closes above $76.80 within five sessions if the SEC's Reg Crypto proposal is being priced by the asset most levered to it
The SEC Just Offered Tokens a Way Out of Securitie...
≥ $76.8000 $77.5500 Hit Aug 19, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 7 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 7 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 7 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 21 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago