Trade-Advise
Dark mode
Trade-Advise
Sign Up
Light
Home › Track Record

AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above $227.95 within eight sessions, confirming the earnings-realization bid
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof...
≥ $227.95 $228.50 Hit Sep 3, 2026
ETH/USD
A close above $2,429.00 within five sessions invalidates the breakdown thesis
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge
≥ $2,429.00 $2,508.18 Hit Sep 3, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes above its $327.30 session high within 5 sessions, confirming the defensive bid
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $...
≥ $327.30 $328.22 Hit Sep 3, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes below $352.96 within 5 sessions after the 3.22% break and lower-third close
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi...
≤ $352.96 $356.24 Hit Sep 2, 2026
AAPL
Apple closes above $327.30 within 5 sessions, extending the 2.61% session gain toward the 52-week high
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi...
≥ $327.30 $325.03 Hit Sep 2, 2026
NVDA
A close above the 90-day high of $227.83 within 10 sessions confirms semiconductor revisions are being priced
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≥ $227.83 $224.25 Hit Sep 2, 2026
GOOGL
A close below the session low of $337.16 within 5 sessions confirms the hyperscaler de-rating is extending
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≤ $337.16 $337.12 Hit Sep 2, 2026
DOGE/USD
DOGE/USD closes below $0.0808 within five sessions as the high-beta tail keeps absorbing the downside
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≤ $0.0808 $0.0817 Hit Sep 1, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below $77,392 within five sessions, meaning the hawkish rate repricing reached the majors and the thesis fails
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≤ $77,392.00 $77,477.87 Hit Sep 1, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above $78,802 within five sessions, confirming the reversal it failed to close through on August 31
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of...
≥ $78,802.00 $78,077.99 Hit Sep 1, 2026
MSFT
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its prior close of $505.06 within eight sessions, indicating uniform multiple compression across the AI complex
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in...
≤ $505.06 $501.02 Hit Sep 1, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $525 within ten sessions, confirming capital is rotating within the AI complex toward the compute supply chain
The ECB Says the AI Rally Will Correct. Inside the...
≥ $525.00 — expired Miss Aug 27, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below 1.1510 within 10 sessions
Five of Eight Majors Sit Within a Tenth of a Perce...
≤ $1.1510 — expired Miss Aug 26, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above its 52-week high of $366.50 within ten sessions, confirming the intermediary-versus-consumer spread
Oil Broke Europe's Four-Week Rally — The Damage La...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Aug 25, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $530 within ten sessions, confirming internal re-rating of the compute complex
Flat PPI Was Supposed to Lift Everything — Instead...
≥ $530.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
XAU/USD
Thesis fails and the equity rout was right if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,310.61 within 10 sessions
Miners Got Routed on Two Continents While the Meta...
≤ $4,310.61 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
GEV
Cost-advantage thesis weakens if GEV falls below $420 within 30 days, signaling tariff exemptions or demand-side deterioration
Tariff Inflation Is a Power-and-Silicon Tax on AI...
≤ $420.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
GEV
Domestic-content thesis confirmed if GEV holds above $450 within 30 days as tariff pressure persists on import-exposed hardware vendors
Tariff Inflation Is a Power-and-Silicon Tax on AI...
≥ $450.00 — expired Miss Aug 24, 2026
XRP/USD
XRP/USD closes below $0.9900 within five sessions, confirming the dollar level is lost despite the token safe-harbour proposal
The SEC Just Offered Tokens a Way Out of Securitie...
≤ $0.9900 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
SOL/USD
A close below $75.20 within five sessions means Tuesday's lone green print was noise, not a policy bid
The SEC Just Offered Tokens a Way Out of Securitie...
≤ $75.2000 — expired Miss Aug 23, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 8 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 8 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 8 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 22 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago