AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT |
A close below $495.00 within 5 sessions confirms the software risk premium is spreading to megacap platforms
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G... |
≤ $495.00 | $493.69 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below $501.40 within ten sessions, indicating the platform bid was a rates artifact
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≤ $501.40 | $493.69 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes above Thursday's high of $619.43 within eight sessions, corroborating the monetization bid
The AI Trade Is Splitting in Two — and Thursday's... |
≥ $619.43 | $616.36 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Thesis fails if Tesla closes below the $365.92 session low within 5 sessions
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of... |
≤ $365.92 | $365.40 | Hit | Sep 8, 2026 |
| TSLA |
Tesla closes above $384.01 within five sessions, confirming the relief bid became trend
Waller Killed the Hike Trade and Nine of Ten Megac... |
≥ $384.01 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close below the session low of $218.48 within 5 sessions invalidates the incumbent-premium read
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost... |
≤ $218.48 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after a third consecutive red close and the loss of $500
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —... |
≤ $493.83 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below $452.35 within 5 sessions as the divergence from Nvidia extends
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —... |
≤ $452.35 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes above the $270.00 round number within eight sessions, confirming the platform layer is absorbing rotation flow
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in... |
≥ $270.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 8, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Dollar-funding relief thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 155.30 within 10 sessions
India's $740.8 Billion Shield and a Yen Pinned to... |
≤ $155.30 | $154.43 | Hit | Sep 7, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes below $76,264 within five sessions as the rate repricing extends
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge |
≤ $76,264.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Thesis fails if Apple closes below its $314.74 session low within 5 sessions
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $... |
≤ $314.74 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes below $251.93 within 5 sessions as discount-retail pressure and risk-off flow extend the second red close
Shein's Hong Kong Debut Lands at a Reported $26 Bi... |
≤ $251.93 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| TSLA |
A close below the session low of $347.33 within 5 sessions negates the reversal
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G... |
≤ $347.33 | — expired | Miss | Sep 7, 2026 |
| BNB/USD |
BNB/USD closes above $756.88 within five sessions, confirming the breakout from the 90-day high
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr... |
≥ $756.88 | $751.56 | Hit | Sep 6, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH/USD closes below $2,356.41 within three sessions, confirming the breakdown
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge |
≤ $2,356.41 | — expired | Miss | Sep 5, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes below $214.00 within five sessions, confirming the capital-spending discount is a regime feature rather than a one-day reaction
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in... |
≤ $214.00 | — expired | Miss | Sep 5, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close above the session high of $227.95 within 5 sessions confirms the range extension in AI silicon
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost... |
≥ $227.95 | $230.35 | Hit | Sep 4, 2026 |
| NVDA |
Nvidia closes above $227.95 within 5 sessions, confirming the breakout after the volume-backed 3.13% session
Crypto Sold the Rate-Hike Odds. Equities Didn't —... |
≥ $227.95 | $230.35 | Hit | Sep 4, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes above $600.33 within ten sessions, confirming monetized-volume leadership
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof... |
≥ $600.33 | $610.80 | Hit | Sep 3, 2026 |