A vessel strike near Hormuz has kept crude above $90 into Tuesday, with the diesel crack printing a record $102. Gold slipped under $4,400 in the same move. That combination is a cost shock, and the mega-cap board was already leaning defensive before it landed.
All ten names we track closed red Monday. Nine finished below the midpoint of their own session range.
The Call
An energy risk premium turns a soft close into a distribution setup. If META loses $564.75 within three sessions, sellers stay in control — a close back above $571.86 kills the call.
| Symbol | Close | Change | Day range | 52-week range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | $506.09 | -8.30 (-1.61%) | $504.52–$517.30 | $149.22–$584.73 |
| AAPL | $305.69 | -0.24 (-0.08%) | $302.94–$307.66 | $223.78–$344.57 |
| MSFT | $480.54 | -14.86 (-3.00%) | $478.41–$492.66 | $349.20–$553.72 |
| NVDA | $225.05 | -0.11 (-0.05%) | $224.86–$227.92 | $164.07–$236.54 |
| GOOGL | $344.08 | -1.82 (-0.53%) | $341.93–$347.24 | $196.60–$408.61 |
| AMZN | $261.33 | -1.32 (-0.50%) | $258.34–$265.75 | $196.00–$287.20 |
| META | $569.01 | -20.84 (-3.53%) | $564.75–$590.24 | $520.26–$790.80 |
| TSLA | $339.34 | -2.93 (-0.86%) | $337.49–$345.45 | $297.38–$498.83 |
| JPM | $361.20 | -1.64 (-0.45%) | $360.98–$365.75 | $279.10–$366.50 |
| V | $358.95 | -5.20 (-1.43%) | $358.52–$363.56 | $293.89–$373.97 |
Risk Sheet
- META — $569.01, -3.53%. Session low $564.75 is the line. Closed in the lower third of its range, 28% under the $790.80 high.
- MSFT — $480.54, -3.00%. Gapped down 1.05% on 20.5M shares. Volume confirmed it. Our below-$475.00 call from Monday is still live. The earlier $489.00 call expired before the break came — we were early, not wrong on direction.
- AMD — $506.09, -1.61%. Closed near the low. $500.00 is the widely watched round number underneath.
- AMZN — $261.33, -0.50%. Gapped up 1.06% and gave it all back. A record diesel crack is a direct fulfillment cost. $258.34 is the reference low.
- JPM — $361.20, -0.45%. Tagged $365.75, closed in the bottom twentieth of the range. Below $359.39 the higher-high structure is gone.
- V — $358.95, -1.43%. Weakest close location among the financials. $358.52 is the level the desk is watching.
- NVDA — $225.05, -0.05%. Heaviest volume on the board at 71.7M shares for essentially no move. Our $230.00 call expired — the bid never showed up above $227.92.
Consensus reads an oil spike as an energy-sector trade. The cleaner equity read is freight and logistics cost — and AMZN carries more of that than the screen suggests.
The Outlier
AAPL at $305.69, down just 0.08%. It was the only name to close in the upper half of its session range, at 58%.
The support is product, not macro. BofA and Morgan Stanley have both pointed to a September 2026 foldable iPhone launch. Relative strength on a red day is worth noting. It only matters above $307.66.
What kills this view: crude back under $90 and the diesel crack easing off the record. Then the cost story dies and Monday's lows get bought fast.
Tomorrow
- META $564.75 — breaks.
- AAPL $307.66 — confirms.
- MSFT $478.41 — holds.