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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
AMD
A close below $452.35 within 10 sessions extends the AMD de-rating toward the 90-day low
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost...
≤ $452.35 — expired Miss Sep 13, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes below its $351.38 session low within five sessions, confirming the Cybercab review was a repricing rather than a one-day flush
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t...
≤ $351.38 — expired Miss Sep 12, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes below $77,952.00 within three sessions, killing the absorption thesis
PPI Ran Hot, Bond Yields Hit a 19-Year High, and B...
≤ $77,952.00 $77,289.46 Hit Sep 11, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes above $2,515.95 within five sessions, confirming the macro shock was absorbed
PPI Ran Hot, Bond Yields Hit a 19-Year High, and B...
≥ $2,515.95 $2,513.02 Hit Sep 11, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes below $351.38 within 5 sessions as the gap-down unwind extends
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh...
≤ $351.38 — expired Miss Sep 11, 2026
GOOGL
A close above $346.59 within 10 sessions reverses the view and reframes the drop as positioning
India Pulled In $3.1 Billion in August. Alphabet G...
≥ $346.59 — expired Miss Sep 11, 2026
NVDA
Capacity-friction thesis confirmed if NVDA closes below $220 within 7 sessions
The Data Center Backlash Is an Enterprise Budget S...
≤ $220.00 $218.01 Hit Sep 10, 2026
MSFT
A close below the $490.16 session low within 5 sessions confirms discount-rate pressure on megacap platforms
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —...
≤ $490.16 $491.76 Hit Sep 10, 2026
NVDA
A close below $225.00 within 3 sessions confirms the failed-gap read in AI silicon
Oil and Record Copper Repriced the Discount Rate —...
≤ $225.00 $218.01 Hit Sep 10, 2026
NVDA
NVDA closes below the widely watched $225.00 round number within 5 sessions after the failed gap
Booking Drops 7% and Visa Follows — The Consumer T...
≤ $225.00 $218.01 Hit Sep 10, 2026
BNB/USD
BNB/USD closes below $719.49 within five sessions, meaning the rotation failed and the thesis is dead
A Nasdaq Micro-Cap Ate a 50% Loss to Get Out of Cr...
≤ $719.49 — expired Miss Sep 10, 2026
NVDA
Thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $218.48 within eight sessions
Biotech Printed the Day's New Highs While Microsof...
≤ $218.48 — expired Miss Sep 10, 2026
META
A close above the widely watched $620.00 round number within 5 sessions supports the consumption rotation
The AI Rotation Call Meets a Board Where NVDA and...
≥ $620.00 $656.75 Hit Sep 9, 2026
AMD
A close below the $458.00 session low within 5 sessions makes Thursday's $21.29 gain a one-day event
Adobe's Insider CEO Pick Cost 7% — and Microsoft G...
≤ $458.00 — expired Miss Sep 9, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes above the $366.50 52-week high within 5 sessions if the rate-relief bid holds
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of...
≥ $366.50 — expired Miss Sep 9, 2026
USD/JPY
Funding-unwind thesis confirmed if USD/JPY closes below 153.50 within seven sessions
The Yen Broke Its 90-Day Floor With Wall Street Cl...
≤ $153.50 $154.22 Hit Sep 8, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above $485 within ten sessions, validating the rotation toward merchant compute
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t...
≥ $485.00 $509.02 Hit Sep 8, 2026
TSLA
The bearish read fails if Tesla closes above $364.65 within five sessions, indicating the regulatory evaluation was treated as noise
Regulators Look at Cybercab and Tesla Loses 6% — t...
≥ $364.65 $365.40 Hit Sep 8, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after the worst close location on the board
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh...
≤ $493.83 $493.69 Hit Sep 8, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above the widely watched $480.00 round number within 5 sessions, confirming the semis bid
The 13F Bid Didn't Show Up — JPM Closed $358.48 Wh...
≥ $480.00 $509.02 Hit Sep 8, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 8 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 8 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 8 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 22 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago