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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
NVDA
Thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $220 within 10 sessions, signaling a theme-wide de-rating
Burry Says the AI Bubble May Burst Sooner. NVIDIA...
≤ $220.00 — expired Miss Oct 8, 2026
AVAX/USD
AVAX/USD closes above its 90-day high of $11.43 within 7 sessions, extending the only green trend on the board
Solana Shipped DvP, Ripple Signed Brevan Howard, a...
≥ $11.4300 $11.2450 Hit Oct 7, 2026
SOL/USD
Thesis of distribution into good news confirmed if SOL/USD closes below today's low of $119.22 within 5 sessions
Solana Shipped DvP, Ripple Signed Brevan Howard, a...
≤ $119.22 $118.87 Hit Oct 7, 2026
ADA/USD
Rotation thesis fails if ADA closes back below $0.2597 within 10 sessions
Washington Stopped Waiting for Congress — and S&P...
≤ $0.2597 $0.2575 Hit Oct 7, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $327.58 within 15 sessions as the rate-sensitive de-rating continues
Bitcoin Near $86,000 Lifted Every Megacap at the O...
≤ $327.58 $327.27 Hit Oct 7, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $327.58 within 10 sessions
Intuit Grew Revenue 14% and Closed at $281. AMD Ad...
≤ $327.58 $327.27 Hit Oct 7, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its $327.58 90-day low within 10 sessions as the financials laggard extends
Nasdaq 100 Prints a Record, Then Yields Reverse —...
≤ $327.58 $327.27 Hit Oct 7, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below its session low of $325.90 within 10 sessions, extending the derating
Asia's Risk-On Gapped Ten Megacaps Up $16.79. Nine...
≤ $325.90 $327.27 Hit Oct 7, 2026
AUD/USD
Thesis fails if AUD/USD closes back above 0.7000 within 7 sessions
Yields at Multi-Decade Highs and the Commodity Blo...
≥ $0.7000 — expired Miss Oct 7, 2026
AUD/USD
Funding-stress read confirmed if AUD/USD closes below 0.6900 within 7 sessions
Yields at Multi-Decade Highs and the Commodity Blo...
≤ $0.6900 — expired Miss Oct 7, 2026
ADA/USD
Cardano range expansion confirmed if ADA closes above $0.2742 within 10 sessions
Washington Stopped Waiting for Congress — and S&P...
≥ $0.2742 $0.2674 Hit Oct 6, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes above its 90-day high of $380.30 within 15 sessions on continued high-beta risk appetite
Bitcoin Near $86,000 Lifted Every Megacap at the O...
≥ $380.30 $380.50 Hit Oct 6, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above its 52-week high of $237.85 within 10 sessions, confirming compute leadership is extending
Bitcoin Near $86,000 Lifted Every Megacap at the O...
≥ $237.85 $242.04 Hit Oct 6, 2026
TSLA
Tesla closes above its $380.30 90-day high within 10 sessions
Soft Jobs Print Kills October Hike Odds — Eight of...
≥ $380.30 $380.50 Hit Oct 6, 2026
AVAX/USD
AVAX/USD closes above its 90-day high of $11.43 within 10 sessions as high-beta leadership persists
The Yen Cracked, Tokyo Ripped, and Crypto Was the...
≥ $11.4300 $11.5990 Hit Oct 6, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft closes below $510.00 within 5 sessions, confirming the gap-fade was distribution
Asia's Risk-On Gapped Ten Megacaps Up $16.79. Nine...
≤ $510.00 — expired Miss Oct 6, 2026
TXN
Breakout was thin if TXN closes back below $275.21 within 10 sessions
CarMax's Q2 Is a Pricing-Algorithm Test, and $0.72...
≤ $275.21 — expired Miss Oct 6, 2026
TXN
Demand-mix thesis confirmed if TXN closes above $282.00 within 10 sessions
CarMax's Q2 Is a Pricing-Algorithm Test, and $0.72...
≥ $282.00 — expired Miss Oct 6, 2026
META
Thesis fails if Meta closes above its $769.23 session high within 10 sessions, reversing the rotation into the compute layer
AMD's Trillion-Dollar Milestone Closed in the Lowe...
≥ $769.23 — expired Miss Oct 6, 2026
NVDA
Thesis reverses if Nvidia closes above its 52-week high of $237.85 within 10 sessions
Intuit Grew Revenue 14% and Closed at $281. AMD Ad...
≥ $237.85 $237.17 Hit Oct 5, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago