AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD |
AMD's gap-up is fully erased on a close below $476.15 within 5 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
The high-beta bid was payrolls noise if NVDA closes below $220.69 within 3 sessions
CPI Wednesday Is the Only Binary — NVDA Closed at... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.59 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A close below $63,900 within five sessions means the $754M inflow week was an isolated event, not a trend
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi... |
≤ $63,900.00 | $63,984.85 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
A close below the $476.15 session low within 10 sessions confirms the de-rating extends
Record Earnings Beat, and AMD Still Gave Back $15.... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
The AMD-versus-NVDA divergence extends on a close below $476.15 within 5 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| NVDA |
The soft-payrolls bid is invalidated if NVDA closes below $220.69 within 3 sessions
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at... |
≤ $220.69 | $217.59 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below its session low of $476.15 within five sessions as the gap-up reversal extends
Payrolls Shed 23,000 Jobs and Visa Fell 2.13% — Th... |
≤ $476.15 | $469.71 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
A close beneath $1,894.35 within 10 sessions would undercut the view that legislative risk is discounted
The Clarity Act Slipped to September and Crypto Cl... |
≤ $1,894.35 | $1,873.94 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Thesis fails if BTC closes below the $64,166.00 session low within 10 sessions, indicating the Clarity Act delay was not already discounted
The Clarity Act Slipped to September and Crypto Cl... |
≤ $64,166.00 | $63,984.85 | Hit | Aug 10, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,065.91 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Reopens on Paper, Gold Adds $114 — Somebody... |
≤ $4,065.91 | — expired | Miss | Aug 10, 2026 |
| META |
Absorption read fails if META closes below the $520.26 52-week low within 10 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%.... |
≤ $520.26 | — expired | Miss | Aug 10, 2026 |
| SOL/USD |
SOL/USD closes above $77.00 within five sessions if high-beta continues leading the complex
BIP-110 Went Live With 3% Miner Support and Bitcoi... |
≥ $77.0000 | $76.2900 | Hit | Aug 9, 2026 |
| JPM |
A close above the $363.00 52-week high within 5 sessions voids the rejection read
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an... |
≥ $363.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| META |
Thesis fails if Meta closes below $556.71 within 5 sessions, erasing the entire policy repricing
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma... |
≤ $556.71 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes above its 52-week high of $287.16 within 5 sessions, confirming the duration bid
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma... |
≥ $287.16 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close below $300 within 5 sessions confirms Apple is being distributed while the complex rallies
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur... |
≤ $300.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below the session low of $475.00 within 5 sessions means the duration bid failed and the thesis is void
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur... |
≤ $475.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| AMZN |
A close above the 52-week high of $287.16 within 5 sessions confirms the platform breakout is genuine
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Dur... |
≥ $287.16 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes below its 52-week low of $520.26 within 10 sessions as the capex-credibility spread widens
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation... |
≤ $520.26 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |
| MSFT |
The thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its opening print of $438.41 within 10 sessions, marking the advance as a squeeze
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation... |
≤ $438.41 | — expired | Miss | Aug 9, 2026 |