AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL |
Apple closes below $330.00 within 5 sessions after finishing at the bottom of its range
Oil Pops, Bonds Retreat, and Apple Sheds $6.59 — S... |
≤ $330.00 | $328.87 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Macro-beta regime deepens if Bitcoin closes below Monday's low of $82,705.02 within 3 sessions
THORChain Told Bitget No — and All Eight Majors Cl... |
≤ $82,705.02 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above $520.00 within 7 sessions, extending the 90-day high breakout
Nan Shan Lifts Its JPMorgan Stake 21% — The Stock... |
≥ $520.00 | $514.32 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above the $520 round number within 10 sessions, confirming the breakout from its 30-session consolidation
AMD's Trillion-Dollar Milestone Closed in the Lowe... |
≥ $520.00 | $514.32 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes below $330.00 within ten sessions as the funding-cost repricing extends past its 90-day low
Iran's Seven-Day Hormuz Offer Is an Option With an... |
≤ $330.00 | $327.58 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| USD/CAD |
Broad dollar extension confirmed if USD/CAD closes above the 52-week high of 1.4249 within 20 sessions
US Flash PMIs Blow Out and the Commodity Bloc Pays... |
≥ $1.4249 | $1.4254 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| JPM |
JPMorgan closes below the $330.00 round number within 10 sessions, extending the derating from its 90-day low
JPMorgan Drops $14.40 in One Session to a 90-Day L... |
≤ $330.00 | $327.58 | Hit | Oct 1, 2026 |
| USD/CAD |
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes below 1.3900 within 10 sessions
Nothing Moved, Everything Drifted: The Dollar's Qu... |
≤ $1.3900 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| USD/JPY |
Carry-trade signal breaks if USD/JPY closes below its 90-day low of 153.53 within 15 sessions
Yields Near 5%, a Fed Decision Pending, and Eight... |
≤ $153.53 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| USD/CAD |
Thesis fails if USD/CAD closes back at its 90-day low of 1.3767 within 15 sessions
Yields Near 5%, a Fed Decision Pending, and Eight... |
≤ $1.3767 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| FOMC |
No move of 50bp or larger is delivered within 30 days; a jumbo hike would force a broader enterprise software derating than this thesis assumes
Iran Escalation Plus a Hawkish Barclays: Security... |
≤ $0.5000 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| FOMC |
A 25bp hike is delivered at or above 0.25 percentage points at the September meeting within 30 days, validating the duration-compression read on high-multiple software
Iran Escalation Plus a Hawkish Barclays: Security... |
≥ $0.2500 | — expired | Miss | Oct 1, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
The bounce extends beyond technical noise if XAU/USD closes above $4,200 within 5 sessions
Two Desks, One Barrel, $56 Apart — and Gold Bounci... |
≥ $4,200.00 | $4,156.92 | Hit | Sep 30, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Rotation into cash-converting infrastructure confirmed if Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $514.85 within 10 sessions
Anthropic Files, OpenAI Pulls a Model, and the AI... |
≥ $514.85 | $518.76 | Hit | Sep 30, 2026 |
| SOL/USD |
Differentiation thesis confirmed if Solana closes above its 90-day high of $122.28 within 10 sessions
THORChain Told Bitget No — and All Eight Majors Cl... |
≥ $122.28 | $118.28 | Hit | Sep 30, 2026 |
| SLB |
Cash component remains at or above $3.4 billion with no equity substitution within 30 days, or the conviction thesis weakens
SLB Just Paid $4.1 Billion for Heat Exchangers — C... |
≥ $3.4000 | — expired | Miss | Sep 30, 2026 |
| SLB |
No superior competing bid above the $4.1 billion consideration emerges within 30 days; terms hold as struck
SLB Just Paid $4.1 Billion for Heat Exchangers — C... |
≤ $4.1000 | — expired | Miss | Sep 30, 2026 |
| JPM |
No broadening into financials: JPMorgan closes below its 90-day low of $335.99 within 15 sessions
Burry Says the AI Bubble May Burst Sooner. NVIDIA... |
≤ $335.99 | $334.17 | Hit | Sep 29, 2026 |
| V |
Visa remains below its 90-day high of $384.06 over the next 20 sessions
HSBC Raises JPMorgan's Target to $377, Keeps Hold... |
≤ $384.06 | $366.16 | Hit | Sep 29, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis fails if JPM closes below its 90-day low of $335.99 within 15 sessions
HSBC Raises JPMorgan's Target to $377, Keeps Hold... |
≤ $335.99 | $334.17 | Hit | Sep 29, 2026 |