AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD |
A close above $63,634 within three sessions invalidates the supply-overhang read
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro... |
≥ $63,634.00 | $63,940.95 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC closes below $62,500 within three sessions as exchange-bound supply caps rallies
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro... |
≤ $62,500.00 | $63,940.95 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Thesis flips if Apple closes above $310.69 within 5 sessions, repairing the gap-down and rewarding discounted cash generation
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I... |
≥ $310.69 | $303.41 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet closes above its session high of $358.58 within 5 sessions, confirming intraday accumulation is driving the re-rating
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I... |
≥ $358.58 | $373.47 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Amazon closes above its 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions as cash-conversion leadership extends
Yields at a 19-Year High Didn't De-Rate Big Tech —... |
≥ $278.56 | $284.13 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| AMZN |
A close above the 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions confirms rotation into asset-light cash flow
Iran Stopped Two Tankers in Hormuz. Apple Gave Up... |
≥ $278.56 | $284.13 | Hit | Aug 3, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Gap thesis fails if MSFT closes below $438.50 within 3 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%.... |
≤ $438.50 | — expired | Miss | Aug 3, 2026 |
| MSFT |
A close below the session low of $388.75 within 5 sessions confirms the long-duration software markdown is extending
The Fed Held and the Long End Tightened Anyway — M... |
≤ $388.75 | — expired | Miss | Aug 3, 2026 |
| V |
A close above the 52-week high of $373.97 within 5 sessions confirms rotation into near-duration cash flows
The Fed Held and the Long End Tightened Anyway — M... |
≥ $373.97 | — expired | Miss | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH closing above $1,981.24 within 7 days confirms the relative-strength bid is structural rather than a one-session artifact
Two Exchanges Died in Three Days and Bitcoin Moved... |
≥ $1,981.24 | — expired | Miss | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC closes above $63,150 within five sessions, confirming the non-reaction to the Coldcard exploit was conviction
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin C... |
≥ $63,150.00 | $63,409.27 | Hit | Aug 2, 2026 |
| AMD |
View reversed if AMD closes above its session high of $515.62 within 5 sessions
Yields at a 19-Year High Didn't De-Rate Big Tech —... |
≥ $515.62 | $476.15 | Hit | Aug 2, 2026 |
| AAPL |
Apple closes below the $300.00 level within 5 sessions, confirming the funded-ambition de-rating
Yields at a 19-Year High Didn't De-Rate Big Tech —... |
≤ $300.00 | $308.91 | Hit | Aug 2, 2026 |
| AMZN |
Thesis fails if Amazon closes below $270.22 within 10 sessions, marking the 15.32% move as a headline reflex
Yields at a 19-Year High Didn't De-Rate Big Tech —... |
≤ $270.22 | $271.58 | Hit | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NVDA |
AI deleveraging extends if NVDA closes below $185.00 within 3 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —... |
≤ $185.00 | — expired | Miss | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NVDA |
A close above the session high of $208.75 within 5 sessions would invalidate the de-risking thesis entirely
AMD Traded a $51.07 Range and Closed Below $500 —... |
≥ $208.75 | — expired | Miss | Aug 2, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
A sustained close above $66,313.14 within 10 sessions would indicate the macro ceiling from oil and rate pressure has not hardened, supporting the recovery thesis.
CLARITY Act Odds Collapse to 38% — What It Means f... |
≥ $66,313.14 | — expired | Miss | Aug 2, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close above the session high of $310.64 within 5 sessions invalidates the cost-shock repricing thesis
Iran Stopped Two Tankers in Hormuz. Apple Gave Up... |
≥ $310.64 | $308.91 | Hit | Aug 1, 2026 |
| AAPL |
A close below the session low of $300.01 within 5 sessions confirms the market is still discounting Hormuz-driven input-cost pressure on Apple's margins
Iran Stopped Two Tankers in Hormuz. Apple Gave Up... |
≤ $300.01 | $308.91 | Hit | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
ETH closing below $1,850 within three sessions confirms high-beta majors are leading the complex lower
$40 Million Walked Out of Coldcard. Bitcoin's Prob... |
≤ $1,850.00 | $1,837.34 | Hit | Aug 1, 2026 |