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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
NVDA
The gap-down reversal read is void if NVDA closes below $196.92 within 5 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≤ $196.92 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AMZN
Amazon breakout confirmed on a close above the $287.18 52-week high within 5 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≥ $287.18 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AAPL
A close below the session low of $300.00 within 5 sessions confirms the gap was an earnings-expectation reset rather than forced selling
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≤ $300.00 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
JPM
A close below $340.00 within 10 sessions confirms risk aversion is overriding the curve-steepening benefit for banks
The Fed Held and the Long End Tightened Anyway — M...
≤ $340.00 — expired Miss Aug 8, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its session high of $496.61 within ten sessions as the gap-down reversal extends
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th...
≥ $496.61 $483.27 Hit Aug 7, 2026
MSFT
Microsoft clears its $501.54 session high and closes above $505.00 within five sessions, confirming the funded-scale bid
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are th...
≥ $505.00 $499.85 Hit Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
A close above $222.22 within 3 sessions confirms NVIDIA retains accelerator leadership as AMD's drawdown widens.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev...
≥ $222.22 $223.89 Hit Aug 7, 2026
GOOGL
A close below the session low of $356.83 within 5 sessions confirms the long-duration software markdown is extending beyond a single name.
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Sev...
≤ $356.83 $354.33 Hit Aug 7, 2026
JPM
Thesis fails if JPMorgan closes below its session low of $354.62 within ten sessions, signaling the advance is narrowing back into semiconductors
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42...
≤ $354.62 $357.53 Hit Aug 7, 2026
JPM
The failed breakout at the $363.00 52-week high is confirmed if JPM closes below $354.62 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $354.62 — expired Miss Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
Sorting thesis fails if NVIDIA closes below $194.95 within 5 sessions, signaling a correlated de-rating rather than dispersion
A 2,267 Basis Point Gap Between Amazon and Apple I...
≤ $194.95 — expired Miss Aug 7, 2026
NVDA
A close above the session high of $222.22 within 5 sessions confirms NVIDIA retains accelerator leadership into the record at $236.54
AMD Beat and Still Lost $36.83 a Share — 93% of It...
≥ $222.22 $218.75 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AMD
A close below the session low of $478.41 within 5 sessions confirms the gap-down became a ceiling and the de-rating extends
AMD Beat and Still Lost $36.83 a Share — 93% of It...
≤ $478.41 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
XAU/USD
Rate-driven bid confirmed if XAU/USD closes above $4,250 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Reopens on Paper, Gold Adds $114 — Somebody...
≥ $4,250.00 $4,239.75 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below its session low of $502.41 within three sessions as the post-earnings pullback gives back part of the 8.33% advance
The Record High Isn't Multiple Expansion — It's 42...
≤ $502.41 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
AAPL
Apple divergence extends on a close below the $300.00 round number within 3 sessions
Chips Gapped Down and Closed at the Top. That's th...
≤ $300.00 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
AMD
AMD closes below $470.00 within five sessions, confirming the market's rejection of the opening premium
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≤ $470.00 $489.08 Hit Aug 6, 2026
SOL/USD
SOL closes below $70.00 within five sessions as high-beta majors keep leading the complex lower
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin C...
≤ $70.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC closes below $62,000 within five sessions, meaning the custody story became a bitcoin story
41 Minutes, 1,082 BTC, $70 Million — and Bitcoin C...
≤ $62,000.00 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
USD/JPY
USD/JPY reclaims a close above 158.45 within 10 sessions; a close below 156.87 reverses the view
The RBI Chose Plumbing Over Policy: $40.8 Billion...
≥ $158.45 $158.48 Hit Aug 6, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
META
64% (22)
MSFT
41% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
AMD Pending
AMD closes above the widely watched $550 level within 10 sessions, extending merchant-compute leadership
Target: ≥ $550.00 · 31 minutes ago
AMD Pending
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its $527.71 session low within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $527.71 · 31 minutes ago
MSFT Pending
A Microsoft close above its $501.40 session high within 10 sessions would invalidate the narrow-leadership read
Target: ≥ $501.40 · 31 minutes ago
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 16 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 16 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 2 days ago