AI Prediction Track Record
Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically
verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted
and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is
confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and
invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
| Symbol | Call | Level | Actual | Outcome | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD |
AMD closes below its session low of $630.90 within 3 sessions, confirming the record print was rejected
Intuit Grew Revenue 14% and Closed at $281. AMD Ad... |
≤ $630.90 | $629.12 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Broader cycle advance confirmed if Bitcoin closes above its 90-day high of $86,352.01 within 15 sessions
Sanctions Hit the Stablecoin Layer — and Seven of... |
≥ $86,352.01 | $86,234.73 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| SOL/USD |
Thesis fails if Solana closes below Sunday's low of $119.59 within 10 sessions
Sanctions Hit the Stablecoin Layer — and Seven of... |
≤ $119.59 | $121.00 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes above its $237.85 52-week high within 5 sessions, confirming the semi bid held the rate repricing
Soft Jobs Print Kills October Hike Odds — Eight of... |
≥ $237.85 | $237.17 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| AMD |
AMD closes below its $630.90 session low within 5 sessions, invalidating the record-high breakout
Nasdaq 100 Prints a Record, Then Yields Reverse —... |
≤ $630.90 | $629.12 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes above its $237.85 52-week high within 5 sessions, confirming the semi bid survived the yield reversal
Nasdaq 100 Prints a Record, Then Yields Reverse —... |
≥ $237.85 | $237.17 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
BTC/USD closes above its session high of $86,912.75 within 7 sessions, confirming the breakout above the 90-day structure
The SEC Just Offered to Let Funds Hold Their Own K... |
≥ $86,912.75 | $86,234.73 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $518.76 within ten sessions
Nine of Ten Megacaps Closed Below Their Open. That... |
≥ $518.76 | $526.17 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| NVDA |
NVIDIA closes above its session high of $231.91 within seven sessions, confirming compute leadership is intact
Nine of Ten Megacaps Closed Below Their Open. That... |
≥ $231.91 | $237.17 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| NZD/USD |
Periphery continuation confirmed if NZD/USD closes below its 52-week low of 0.5583 within 10 sessions
A 5.6% Long Bond Is Repricing the Funding Chain: E... |
≤ $0.5583 | $0.5598 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| MSFT |
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its session low of $510.42 within 5 sessions
A Basket of Ten Megacaps Gained 0.30% Wednesday —... |
≤ $510.42 | — expired | Miss | Oct 5, 2026 |
| GOOGL |
Alphabet closes below $335.00 within 5 sessions as the duration selling extends
Goldman Flags the Pace of the Bond Selloff — JPMor... |
≤ $335.00 | — expired | Miss | Oct 5, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
The three-session recovery is confirmed and the drawdown has bottomed if XAU/USD closes above $4,350 within 7 sessions
Gold Traded in a 26-Cent Band. That Is Not Stabili... |
≥ $4,350.00 | — expired | Miss | Oct 5, 2026 |
| META |
Meta closes above its 52-week high of $770.82 within ten sessions, confirming the asset-light leadership spread
Iran's Seven-Day Hormuz Offer Is an Option With an... |
≥ $770.82 | — expired | Miss | Oct 5, 2026 |
| JPM |
Thesis is invalidated if JPMorgan closes above $345.00 within ten sessions
Iran's Seven-Day Hormuz Offer Is an Option With an... |
≥ $345.00 | — expired | Miss | Oct 5, 2026 |
| BNB/USD |
Settlement-rail thesis confirmed if BNB closes above its 90-day high of $800.20 within 15 sessions
Exporting Dollar Stablecoins Is a Rail Decision: B... |
≥ $800.20 | $794.30 | Hit | Oct 5, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Thesis fails if BTC/USD closes below the session low of $83,410.39 within 3 sessions
The Yen Cracked, Tokyo Ripped, and Crypto Was the... |
≤ $83,410.39 | — expired | Miss | Oct 4, 2026 |
| XAU/USD |
Thesis fails if XAU/USD closes below the session low of $4,112.09 within 5 sessions
Two Desks, One Barrel, $56 Apart — and Gold Bounci... |
≤ $4,112.09 | — expired | Miss | Oct 4, 2026 |
| BTC/USD |
Thesis fails if BTC/USD closes below $84,520.00 within 7 sessions, marking the payrolls bid as a one-day reflex
The SEC Just Offered to Let Funds Hold Their Own K... |
≤ $84,520.00 | $84,573.48 | Hit | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ETH/USD |
Infrastructure thesis weakens if Ethereum closes below $2,635.69 within 5 sessions
THORChain Told Bitget No — and All Eight Majors Cl... |
≤ $2,635.69 | — expired | Miss | Oct 3, 2026 |