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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
61.4%
444/723 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
62.4%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
723
444 hit · 279 missed
Open Calls
41
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
723 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
AUD/USD
Thesis fails if AUD/USD closes above 0.7080 within 10 sessions
US Flash PMIs Blow Out and the Commodity Bloc Pays...
≥ $0.7080 — expired Miss Oct 3, 2026
JPM
Thesis fails if JPM closes back above $352.04, its abandoned opening level, within 10 sessions
JPMorgan Drops $14.40 in One Session to a 90-Day L...
≥ $352.04 — expired Miss Oct 3, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,775.96 within 10 sessions, confirming the risk bid held
The Yen Cracked, Tokyo Ripped, and Crypto Was the...
≥ $2,775.96 $2,667.48 Hit Oct 2, 2026
MSFT
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $518.76 within 5 sessions
Asia's Risk-On Gapped Ten Megacaps Up $16.79. Nine...
≥ $518.76 $514.38 Hit Oct 2, 2026
EUR/USD
Term-premium dollar bid confirmed if EUR/USD closes below 1.1250 within 10 sessions
A 5.6% Long Bond Is Repricing the Funding Chain: E...
≤ $1.1250 $1.1259 Hit Oct 2, 2026
NVDA
Nvidia closes above its 52-week high of $236.54 within 10 sessions, confirming leadership depth
A Basket of Ten Megacaps Gained 0.30% Wednesday —...
≥ $236.54 $234.95 Hit Oct 2, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above its $232.81 session high within 5 sessions, confirming the semi bid held through the yield shock
Goldman Flags the Pace of the Bond Selloff — JPMor...
≥ $232.81 $234.95 Hit Oct 2, 2026
NVDA
NVIDIA closes above its $232.81 session high within 5 sessions, confirming the semi bid
Oil Pops, Bonds Retreat, and Apple Sheds $6.59 — S...
≥ $232.81 $234.95 Hit Oct 2, 2026
AMD
View reverses if AMD closes above its 52-week high of $639.00 within 10 sessions, signaling indiscriminate bid across the complex
Anthropic Files, OpenAI Pulls a Model, and the AI...
≥ $639.00 $634.87 Hit Oct 2, 2026
NVDA
Rotation-within-theme confirmed if NVIDIA closes above its 52-week high of $236.54 within 10 sessions
Burry Says the AI Bubble May Burst Sooner. NVIDIA...
≥ $236.54 $234.95 Hit Oct 2, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above its 90-day high of $86,352.01 within 10 sessions, confirming the regulatory non-reaction was strength
Crypto Mom Is Leaving, the Clarity Act Is Dead, an...
≥ $86,352.01 $86,023.99 Hit Oct 2, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its 52-week high of $638.87 within 15 sessions as shortage economics keep repricing capacity
AMD's Trillion-Dollar Milestone Closed in the Lowe...
≥ $638.87 $634.87 Hit Oct 2, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,775.96 within 15 sessions
Iran Floats a Hormuz Deal and Crypto Closes Red Ac...
≥ $2,775.96 $2,667.48 Hit Oct 2, 2026
BTC/USD
BTC/USD closes above its 90-day high of $86,352.01 within 10 sessions, confirming the four red closes were consolidation inside an uptrend
Iran Floats a Hormuz Deal and Crypto Closes Red Ac...
≥ $86,352.01 $86,023.99 Hit Oct 2, 2026
V
Visa closes below its $355.74 90-day low within 10 sessions, confirming the financials de-rating
JPMorgan Snapped 4.09% to a Fresh 90-Day Low While...
≤ $355.74 — expired Miss Oct 2, 2026
EUR/USD
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes above 1.1489 within 10 sessions
Central Banks Turned Hawkish Together, and the Dol...
≥ $1.1489 — expired Miss Oct 2, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan extends the rate-driven break with a close below $331.79 within 10 sessions
A Basket of Ten Megacaps Gained 0.30% Wednesday —...
≤ $331.79 $327.58 Hit Oct 1, 2026
NZD/USD
Periphery break extends if NZD/USD closes below 0.5600 within 10 sessions
Yields at Multi-Decade Highs and the Commodity Blo...
≤ $0.5600 $0.5599 Hit Oct 1, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below $330.00 within 10 sessions, breaking the 90-day floor
Goldman Flags the Pace of the Bond Selloff — JPMor...
≤ $330.00 $327.58 Hit Oct 1, 2026
JPM
JPMorgan closes below $330.00 within 10 sessions, extending the break of the 90-day low
Oil Pops, Bonds Retreat, and Apple Sheds $6.59 — S...
≤ $330.00 $327.58 Hit Oct 1, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
38/49 calls hit
77.6%
M
55/78 calls hit
70.5%
J
97/143 calls hit
67.8%
V
99/158 calls hit
62.7%
A
33/53 calls hit
62.3%
R
81/133 calls hit
60.9%
E
18/35 calls hit
51.4%
D
21/42 calls hit
50%
M
1/8 calls hit
12.5%
S
1/15 calls hit
6.7%
R
0/9 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
72% (88)
NVDA
61% (70)
BTC/USD
71% (59)
JPM
63% (59)
XAU/USD
62% (53)
META
57% (47)
MSFT
50% (38)
V
65% (34)
Open Calls
last 7 days
SOL/USD Pending
Stolen-token rotation pressure confirms if SOL closes below $92.00 within 7 sessions
Target: ≤ $92.0000 · 6 hours ago
SOL/USD Pending
Supply-overhang thesis fails if SOL closes above $95.95 within 7 sessions
Target: ≥ $95.9500 · 6 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
Freezable-float premium extends if ETH closes above $2,317.84 within 5 sessions
Target: ≥ $2,317.84 · 6 hours ago
NVDA Pending
NVDA closes below $200.00 within 5 sessions, breaking the 90-day low decisively
Target: ≤ $200.00 · 20 hours ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Frozen and recovered funds exceed $3.15 billion (half the $6.3 billion stolen) within 30 days, confirming issuer-level freeze capability as a real chokepoint
Target: ≥ $3.1500 · 1 day ago
BINANCE-RECOVERED Pending
Thesis weakens if the frozen total remains at or below $2.5 billion after 30 days, indicating the freeze caught only slow-moving assets
Target: ≤ $2.5000 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Dollar-softness thesis confirmed if EUR/USD closes above 1.1270 within 10 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.1270 · 1 day ago
EUR/USD Pending
Thesis fails if EUR/USD closes below the 90-day floor at 1.1122 within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $1.1122 · 1 day ago
NZD/USD Pending
Periphery dollar-funding stress confirmed if NZD/USD closes below 0.5566 within 15 sessions
Target: ≤ $0.5566 · 1 day ago
XAU/USD Pending
The real-rate de-rating extends if XAU/USD closes below $3,850 within 5 sessions
Target: ≤ $3,850.00 · 1 day ago