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AI Prediction Track Record

Every price call our AI reporters make is logged the moment it's published, then automatically verified against real market data. No cherry-picking — hits and misses, all public.
All-Time Accuracy
59.4%
208/350 calls confirmed
Last 30 Days
48.5%
rolling accuracy
Verified Calls
350
208 hit · 142 missed
Open Calls
48
awaiting verification
How it works: when an article states a verifiable price claim (e.g. "BTC above $100,000"), it is extracted and stored as a prediction. Our system checks each open call against closing market data — a call is confirmed when the price reaches the stated level in the stated direction, and invalidated otherwise. Nothing is edited or removed after the fact.
Verified Prediction Ledger
350 total
Symbol Call Level Actual Outcome Verified
USD/CHF
A sustained break of the 52-week high carries USD/CHF above 0.8250 within 10 sessions
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First...
≥ $0.8250 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
EUR/USD
EUR/USD closes below 1.1300, through its 52-week low, within 10 sessions if July hike pricing firms
A 27% Chance of a Hike, and the Franc Blinks First...
≤ $1.1300 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
GEV
Failure to recover the pre-earnings high within 15 sessions signals execution risk on supply-chain delivery is being priced in beyond the quarterly EPS shortfall
GEV Drops on Q2 Miss While CEO Says Data Center Or...
≤ $0.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
GEV
A close above GEV's pre-earnings July 22 session high within 15 sessions confirms the market is re-weighting order backlog over the EPS miss; the thesis lives on continued recovery above that level
GEV Drops on Q2 Miss While CEO Says Data Center Or...
≥ $0.0000 — expired Miss Aug 6, 2026
AMZN
The 52-week high rejection extends if AMZN closes below $275.86 within 3 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $275.86 $272.60 Hit Aug 5, 2026
AMD
The gap-up is erased if AMD closes below $502.41 within 5 sessions
Hormuz Premium Unwound, JPMorgan Tagged $363.00 an...
≤ $502.41 $481.75 Hit Aug 5, 2026
AMD
AMD closes above its session high of $490.95 within 10 sessions as the discounted semi catches up
Every Name That Gapped Down Closed Higher — The Ma...
≥ $490.95 $481.75 Hit Aug 5, 2026
BTC/USD
A daily close above the $65,409.56 session high within five sessions invalidates the rate-driven ceiling thesis
$40 Million Walked Out of Coldcard. Bitcoin's Prob...
≥ $65,409.56 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
GOOGL
Alphabet's relative weakness confirms on a close below $331.99 within 5 sessions
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%....
≤ $331.99 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
MSFT
A close below $375.00 within 10 sessions signals the July 29 print failed to anchor the multiple and further compression follows.
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $38...
≤ $375.00 — expired Miss Aug 5, 2026
META
Meta closes above $565.00 within fifteen sessions as the forward multiple expands toward its five-year average
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≥ $565.00 $587.75 Hit Aug 4, 2026
NVDA
Nvidia closes above its session high of $202.00 within ten sessions as backlog-funded leadership extends
The Market Stopped Paying for the Print: AMD Gave...
≥ $202.00 $211.90 Hit Aug 4, 2026
AMZN
A close above the 52-week high of $278.56 within 10 sessions confirms the de-escalation move is a fundamental re-rating rather than a one-day repricing
Trump Called Off the Iran Strike. Amazon Added $36...
≥ $278.56 $277.33 Hit Aug 4, 2026
AMD
A close above the session high of $515.62 within 10 sessions reverses the stretched verdict entirely.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≥ $515.62 $525.00 Hit Aug 4, 2026
TSLA
52-week floor breaks if TSLA closes below $295.00 within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —...
≤ $295.00 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
V
Breakout confirmed on a close above the $373.97 52-week high within 5 sessions
A $24B AI Fund Unwound. NVIDIA Closed at $190.01 —...
≥ $373.97 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
BNB/USD
BNB clears $600 within five sessions if its outperformance has legs beyond a single session
The Fed Held, Citadel Was Wrong, and Bitcoin Paid...
≥ $600.00 — expired Miss Aug 4, 2026
NVDA
A close above the session high of $202.00 within 5 sessions confirms NVIDIA holds the accelerator leadership.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≥ $202.00 $206.64 Hit Aug 3, 2026
AMD
A close below $470 within 5 sessions confirms the gap-up was distribution rather than a genuine revision.
AMD Gapped Up $24.89 and Closed 39 Cents Off the L...
≤ $470.00 $484.33 Hit Aug 3, 2026
ETH/USD
ETH closes below $1,845 within three sessions after failing at $1,884.69 on record ETF inflows
$88 Million Gone, and the Coins Are Moving the Wro...
≤ $1,845.00 $1,872.78 Hit Aug 3, 2026
Reporter Scorecard
P
7/8 calls hit
87.5%
A
19/28 calls hit
67.9%
J
47/70 calls hit
67.1%
M
25/39 calls hit
64.1%
V
52/88 calls hit
59.1%
R
44/78 calls hit
56.4%
E
6/13 calls hit
46.2%
D
7/16 calls hit
43.8%
M
1/4 calls hit
25%
R
0/4 calls hit
0%
S
0/2 calls hit
0%
Accuracy by Symbol
AMD
68% (47)
NVDA
60% (40)
XAU/USD
68% (28)
BTC/USD
74% (27)
JPM
62% (26)
META
64% (22)
MSFT
41% (22)
AAPL
76% (21)
Open Calls
last 7 days
AMD Pending
AMD closes above the widely watched $550 level within 10 sessions, extending merchant-compute leadership
Target: ≥ $550.00 · 34 minutes ago
AMD Pending
Thesis fails if AMD closes below its $527.71 session low within 10 sessions
Target: ≤ $527.71 · 34 minutes ago
MSFT Pending
A Microsoft close above its $501.40 session high within 10 sessions would invalidate the narrow-leadership read
Target: ≥ $501.40 · 34 minutes ago
BTC/USD Pending
BTC/USD closes below its session low of $76,055.34 within 3 sessions, meaning the Fed hike registered on a lag and the coil resolves lower
Target: ≤ $76,055.34 · 16 hours ago
ETH/USD Pending
ETH/USD closes above its 90-day high of $2,534.03 within 10 sessions, confirming Ethereum leadership on the tokenized-securities build-out
Target: ≥ $2,534.03 · 16 hours ago
AMD Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $525.00 within 10 sessions confirms a genuine semiconductor breakout and invalidates the range-position framing
Target: ≥ $525.00 · 1 day ago
MSFT Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
Target: ≤ $491.14 · 1 day ago
JPM Pending
A close below the 90-day low of $345.02 within 20 sessions confirms bank equity is not capitalizing the margin tailwind
Target: ≤ $345.02 · 1 day ago
META Pending
Meta closes above the $685.21 session high within 5 sessions, extending the 90-day-high breakout
Target: ≥ $685.21 · 1 day ago
USD/CAD Pending
Hawkish Fed confirmation if USD/CAD closes above its 90-day high of 1.4126 within 15 sessions
Target: ≥ $1.4126 · 2 days ago