Microsoft CorpMSFT
Stock$495.86
+1.13%
(+5.56)
52W: $349.20 – $553.72
as of Sep 17, 2026
Microsoft Corp Chart
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AI Call Accuracy
40.9%
9/22 calls confirmed
Verified Calls
22
9 hit · 13 missed
Open Calls
2
awaiting verification
MSFT Analysis & Forecasts
19 articles
Hormuz Sent Crude 5% Higher and NVIDIA Fell 2.84% While Microsoft Rose 1.23% — Same Trade, Different Layer
An energy shock is being charged to the compute layer, not the platform layer. NVIDIA and AMD each shed roughly 2.8% while Microsoft, Amazon...
Howmet's Record High and Datadog's 19% Drop Are the Same Trade
Howmet raised EPS, sales and free cash flow guidance and hiked its dividend 17% into a new high, while Datadog fell 19% and Figma 14.9%. Mic...
Chip and Software Beats Are Being Sold: Six of Seven Gap-Up Opens Closed Below the Open
Western Digital and Sandisk raised forecasts and the S&P 500 went nowhere. Alphabet surrendered $20.92 a share from its open, and only NVIDI...
Trump Pulled the Strikes and the Market Bought Duration: Four Platforms Added $86.28 a Share, JPMorgan and Visa Added 39 Cents
Oil slumped and yields fell after strikes on Iran were called off. The equity response was almost entirely a discount-rate trade: META +6.02...
Microsoft Gapped 12.28%. Meta Gapped Down 10.22%. Same Session.
MSFT closed $451.10, up $60.56. META closed $539.03, down $46.58. Twenty-three points of separation in one session — the AI complex stopped...
Microsoft's 15.57% Day Wasn't an AI Rehabilitation — It Was a Verdict on Who Gets to Spend
Microsoft's largest single-session gain in 18 years and Meta's 10.17% gap lower arrived the same day the 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-yea...
The Fed Held and the Long End Tightened Anyway — Microsoft Gave Back $9.78 From Its High
Three hawkish dissents, a steeper curve, and eight of the ten largest US equities lower. Microsoft printed $401.24 on unchanged capex guidan...
Microsoft Gave Back a $5.47 Gap-Up to Close at $381.70 — Three Days Before the Fed and Its Own Print
MSFT opened 1.43% higher and finished up $0.12, sitting 31.28% below its 52-week high. Earnings land July 29, the same week as the FOMC, PCE...
Tyler Technologies Near Records — and Wall Street's Bid Went to V and JPM, Not Software
Tyler Technologies trades near record highs on recurring revenue and margin expansion. Friday's bid confirmed the theme — JPM closed at its...
Recent AI Calls
≤ $491.14
Pending
A close below the $491.14 session low within 10 sessions confirms the hike is compressing megacap software
≥ $513.87
Pending
A close above the 90-day high of $513.87 within 15 sessions validates the re-engagement from below
≤ $490.16
Hit
A close below the $490.16 session low within 5 sessions confirms discount-rate pressure on megacap platforms
≤ $493.83
Hit
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after the worst close location on the board
≥ $513.87
Miss
A close above the 90-day high of $513.87 within 10 sessions reverses the de-rating view
≤ $495.00
Hit
A close below $495.00 within 5 sessions confirms the software risk premium is spreading to megacap platforms
≤ $501.40
Hit
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below $501.40 within ten sessions, indicating the platform bid was a rates artifact
≥ $513.87
Miss
Microsoft closes above its 90-day high of $513.87 within ten sessions, confirming platform leadership over merchant compute
≤ $493.83
Miss
Microsoft closes below $493.83 within 5 sessions after a third consecutive red close and the loss of $500
≤ $505.06
Hit
Thesis fails if Microsoft closes below its prior close of $505.06 within eight sessions, indicating uniform multiple compression across the AI complex