Federal Reserve
31 articles tagged Federal Reserve, newest first. Every price call in these articles was recorded when published and later checked against market data — see the track record.
The Fed Hiked and Semis Led Anyway: AMD's $12.87 Gap Did Three-Quarters of the Work
The Fed raised rates and the long end of the curve stayed quiet. Semiconductors took the cue — AMD closed at $521.58, within $3.42 of its 90-day high, while bot...
Yields Near 5%, a Fed Decision Pending, and Eight Majors That Barely Breathed
Not one major pair moved a tenth of a percent ahead of the Fed. The drift that did occur — USD/CAD's third green close, the kiwi at its floor — leaned hawkish.
Two More Hikes Priced In: AMD's $30.64 Gap Was Nearly All of Its 5.89% Loss
A CNBC survey showing at least two Fed hikes over the next year coincided with AMD gapping down $30.64 and NVIDIA losing 3.28%, while Microsoft and Visa closed...
Apple's Foldable Bid Left It $8.75 From a Record. Alphabet Needs $65.87.
Apple closed at $335.82 after unveiling its foldable iPhone, within $8.75 of its 52-week high. Alphabet, at a higher share price, sits $65.87 below its own.
Ten of Ten Closed Green — But Half of Them Faded Off the High
Falling oil revived the bid and every name on the board finished up. The close locations split the board in two, and the Fed meeting is next week's binary.
Core CPI Ran Hot and the Longest-Duration Assets Led — Alphabet +3.05%, JPMorgan Faded
A hotter-than-expected core inflation print lifted the odds of a Fed hike next week, and the market responded by bidding Alphabet 3.05% and Apple 2.83% while JP...
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar That Refused to Collect
September hike odds firmed and the greenback took nothing for it — softer against four of seven dollar pairs. EUR/GBP, pinned at its 90-day high, is where the s...
Waller Flips the Rate Trade — TSLA +5.41%, Nine of Ten Megacaps Close Green
Fed Governor Waller backed holding rates steady and September hike odds dropped. Tesla closed $376.34, up 5.41%, and only AMD finished red on our board.
Waller Killed the Hike Trade and Nine of Ten Megacaps Gapped Up — AMD Still Closed Red
A dovish Waller reset September rate-hike odds and nine of the ten largest names gapped higher. Tesla added 5.41%; AMD closed lower for a third straight session...
Broadcom's AI Targets Lifted NVDA $6.81. AMD Lost $3.10 on the Same Headline.
An AI demand signal that moves the incumbent and not the second source is a statement about who captures the incremental dollar. NVDA closed $224.25; AMD closed...
Oil Went to $93 and Crypto Didn't Act Like a Hedge
Seven of eight majors closed red as hawkish Fed bets and U.S. strikes on Iran hit the same book. Ethereum lost $2,400 and is the name carrying the breakdown ris...
A Fed Hike Is Back on the Table, and Apple Added $8.28 While Eight of Ten Fell
Traders are pricing rate-hike odds after Warsh's hawkish turn. The megacap complex shed $49.50 a share in declines, and Apple and Meta absorbed almost none of i...
Iran Escalation Plus a Hawkish Barclays: Security Spend Gets Defended, SaaS Multiples Don't
Stocks fell Monday as US-Iran tensions flared and long yields rose. Barclays now sees two hikes in 2026. Enterprise software splits into duration risk and non-d...
Bitcoin Closed August Twenty-Four Dollars Short of the Line Everyone Was Watching
September hike odds sit at 58%, not the near-lock some desks quoted. BTC finished at $78,315.99 — a whisker under the reversal trigger — while DOGE and AVAX too...
Warsh Went Hawkish and the Duration Trade Split in Half: NVIDIA -4.58%, Amazon +3.95%
A hawkish Fed debut was supposed to compress every long-duration multiple equally. Instead the capex-heavy names took the entire hit while the platforms closed...
Five of Eight Majors Sit Within a Tenth of a Percent of a 90-Day Extreme — and Nobody Moved
A flat July PPI took the Fed's next hike off the table, yet the dollar closed fractionally firmer against nearly every major. Compression this tight at the edge...
Hormuz Is Now a Fertilizer Story, Not Just a Crude One — and Gold Moved Eleven Cents
The blockade has spread down the barrel chain into petrochemicals, plastics and industrial gases. Gold, the asset that supposedly prices this, closed at $4,375....
Dhaka's $37 Billion Rebuild Met a Softer Fed — And the Kiwi Still Finished Last
Fed hike odds fell to 40% and Asian reserve managers exhaled, yet the dollar's retreat was confined to the euro, franc and yen. NZD/USD dropped 0.27% and led th...
Eight Megacaps Gapped Up, Eight Closed Below the Open: The Inflation Relief Was Sold
Soft US inflation data cut Fed hike odds to 40% and lifted the Kospi 4.48%, yet only NVIDIA and JPMorgan held their opening gains. Seven of ten megacaps closed...
Weak Payrolls, Record Close: NVDA Took the Bid at $223.89, AMD Gave Back $15.55
Negative July payrolls killed the September hike trade and the S&P printed a record. The money went to high beta — Visa fell 2.13% and closed near its low.