Federal Reserve
44 articles tagged Federal Reserve, newest first. Every price call in these articles was recorded when published and later checked against market data — see the track record.
The Fed Blamed Energy Costs for Inflation. Gold Closed at a 52-Week Low Anyway.
Policymakers named energy among the reasons inflation won't settle. The one commodity that exists to hedge that outcome finished Friday at $3,875.33, a fourth s...
Binance Made Itself Whole and Bitcoin Closed Down $31
Ninety percent of $6.3 billion replaced, withdrawals targeted for Sunday, and BTC moved four one-hundredths of a percent. The hack stopped being the story days...
Lagarde Said the ECB Discussed a Hike and the Euro Made a New 52-Week Low Anyway
The dollar was sold after the Fed's hold, but the euro barely collected. Sterling took the move, and EUR/GBP printed a fresh 52-week low at 0.8344.
Refineries Are Being Shot At and Gold Fell $55. Something Doesn't Add Up.
The Fed held, the dollar weakened, and bullion lost $55.53 anyway. The physical end of the commodity complex is pricing scarcity; the monetary end is pricing po...
Energy Is Pricing the Midterms. Gold Is Pricing the Fed. One of Them Is Wrong.
Crude sat in a holding pattern ahead of the U.S. midterms while bullion faded all day into the Fed decision. Gold closed $4,040.17, down 0.54%, in the lower thi...
Alphabet Enters Earnings at a 90-Day Low While Chips Rally 2%. The Risk Is Microsoft
Monday's megacap split was selective: NVIDIA and AMD gained more than 2% while Alphabet closed at the bottom of its 90-day range. Expectations, not fundamentals...
A Fed Meeting, Inflation Data and Peak Earnings All Land This Week. Dispersion Says Earnings Win
Three macro catalysts arrive at once, yet the ten largest names have separated by 15 percentage points in five sessions — a spread no discount rate can explain.
Five of Eight Majors Closed at a 90-Day Extreme — and the Yen Was the One That Didn't
Hawkish Fed minutes and a 5.70% long bond lifted the dollar against six of seven majors. EUR/USD closed at 1.1186, its 90-day floor. The yen barely flinched.
Soft Jobs Print Kills October Hike Odds — Eight of Ten Megacaps Gap Up and Get Sold
Every one of the ten largest names opened above the prior close. Seven shut in the lower third. Tesla was the only name that held its gain.
The Fed Just Repriced the AI Buildout's Cheapest Input: Capital
A rate hike lands hardest on the most capital-intensive layer of the AI stack. Rothschild Redburn initiated Digital Realty at $227 and Equinix at $1,261 anyway...
The Discount Rate Taxed Momentum First: Meta, Tesla and AMD Faded While the 30-Day Laggards Led
Seven of the ten largest names gapped higher after the Fed's hike and only Amazon held its opening print. The four strongest 30-session performers all closed re...
Ten Gap-Ups, Three Real Buyers: AMD's 6.11% Was the Only Conviction in a Relief Rally
Every one of the ten largest names gapped higher after the Fed's hike, and seven of them closed below their opening print. AMD closed at $543.81, at the top of...
The Fed Hiked for the First Time Since 2023 and Bitcoin Moved 0.35%
BTC closed at $76,475.01 with a $719 range on the most hawkish policy event in three years. The news that actually mattered for this asset class came from the S...
The Fed Hiked and Semis Led Anyway: AMD's $12.87 Gap Did Three-Quarters of the Work
The Fed raised rates and the long end of the curve stayed quiet. Semiconductors took the cue — AMD closed at $521.58, within $3.42 of its 90-day high, while bot...
Yields Near 5%, a Fed Decision Pending, and Eight Majors That Barely Breathed
Not one major pair moved a tenth of a percent ahead of the Fed. The drift that did occur — USD/CAD's third green close, the kiwi at its floor — leaned hawkish.
Two More Hikes Priced In: AMD's $30.64 Gap Was Nearly All of Its 5.89% Loss
A CNBC survey showing at least two Fed hikes over the next year coincided with AMD gapping down $30.64 and NVIDIA losing 3.28%, while Microsoft and Visa closed...
Apple's Foldable Bid Left It $8.75 From a Record. Alphabet Needs $65.87.
Apple closed at $335.82 after unveiling its foldable iPhone, within $8.75 of its 52-week high. Alphabet, at a higher share price, sits $65.87 below its own.
Ten of Ten Closed Green — But Half of Them Faded Off the High
Falling oil revived the bid and every name on the board finished up. The close locations split the board in two, and the Fed meeting is next week's binary.
Core CPI Ran Hot and the Longest-Duration Assets Led — Alphabet +3.05%, JPMorgan Faded
A hotter-than-expected core inflation print lifted the odds of a Fed hike next week, and the market responded by bidding Alphabet 3.05% and Apple 2.83% while JP...
A Hawkish Jobs Print, a Trade Threat, and a Dollar That Refused to Collect
September hike odds firmed and the greenback took nothing for it — softer against four of seven dollar pairs. EUR/GBP, pinned at its 90-day high, is where the s...